195  
FNUS72 KMHX 141014  
FWSMHX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROSE BAY CANAL FIRE...NCFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC  
614 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JULY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A GRADUALLY DRYING EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED TODAY. WHILE  
A FEW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR THIS MORNING, THE RISK OF RAIN IS EXPECTED  
TO END BY THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS AND FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE  
TONIGHT, THEN A WARMING, BUT STILL DRIER, SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS  
ON WEDNESDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 49449 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 5.  
ADI.................MAX 60.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.07 TO 30.12 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........55 46 45 52 49 47 38 35 35 29 31  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............75 78 80 82 83 85 86 86 87 86 87  
RH..............87 82 77 72 67 63 61 59 59 61 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 2.2 2.9 3.1 3.6 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E NE E NE E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 15 15 14 14 13 12 12 10 12  
LVORI...........5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............7 11 20 20 52 60 59 55 55 45 48  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.6 8 33 44 42 49 49 46 46 37 40  
SFC PRES (IN)...009 010 011 012 012 011 010 009 008 007 007  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
OVERNIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........MIN 1035 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 8.  
ADI.................MIN 1.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
SFC PRESSURE........30.04 TO 30.08 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........32 24 24 16 22 17 19 18 16 15 12 13  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............85 83 81 78 76 75 75 74 74 73 73 72  
RH..............61 65 69 76 85 87 87 90 90 93 93 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E NE NE N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 4 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 9 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 8 8 7 6 5 3 2 2 2 3  
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 4 6 6 7 7 7 7 8  
ADI.............39 22 8 8 7 3 2 2 1 1 1 2  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.32 17 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1  
SFC PRES (IN)...007 007 007 007 007 008 007 006 005 004 004 004  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........MAX 24609 MPH-FT.  
LVORI...............MAX 8.  
ADI.................MAX 31.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
SFC PRESSURE........29.99 TO 30.06 INHG.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........12 10 7 7 9 11 10 14 16 14 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............72 74 77 81 84 86 88 90 91 91 91 91  
RH..............97 97 90 77 67 63 57 54 52 52 54 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..N W W W W W W SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 2 2 4 5 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.3 2.7 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW W NW W SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 6 6 6 5 5 6 7 9 9  
LVORI...........8 8 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 2  
ADI.............2 2 2 3 3 21 19 20 21 29 31 26  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 3 8 14 17 15 15 16 23 25 20  
SFC PRES (IN)...004 005 006 006 006 005 004 003 002 001 999 999  
 

 
FORECASTER...MARTIN  
REQUESTED BY...CATHY GILKESON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617203.3/MHX  
.DELDT 07/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL D13OPSRM@NCAGR.GOV  
 
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