126
FNUS72 KMHX 151024
FWSMHX
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROSE BAY CANAL FIRE...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
624 AM EDT WED JUL 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT AT (252)223-2328.
DISCUSSION
MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS,
ALONG WITH A REDUCED RISK OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LIGHT
WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AS THE SEABREEZE DEVELOPS
THIS AFTERNOON (3-5 PM). SOUTHERLY FLOW THEN CONTINUES INTO
THURSDAY, EVENTUALLY INCREASING OVER THE WEEKEND. FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
SOME SUPERFOG COULD OCCUR IF THE FIRE ENDS UP PRODUCING MUCH
SMOKE. THE NEXT APPRECIABLE CHANCE OF RAINFALL COMES SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........MAX 18745 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 8.
ADI.................MAX 24.
STABILITY CLASS.....1.
SFC PRESSURE........29.98 TO 30.06 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14 10 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1
WEATHER COV.....PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG
TSTM COV........
TEMP............72 75 79 83 86 88 90 91 91 91 92
RH..............97 90 77 65 57 54 50 47 47 47 46
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W NW W SW SW S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 1.3 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.0 2.7 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW NW W SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 6 6 5 5 5 6 7 7 8
LVORI...........8 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............3 4 9 16 16 18 19 24 22 23 20
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 2 7 12 12 14 15 19 17 19 16
SFC PRES (IN)...006 006 006 006 005 004 002 001 000 999 998
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
OVERNIGHT.
VENT RATE...........MIN 4024 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 6.
ADI.................MIN 4.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
SFC PRESSURE........29.97 TO 29.99 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........1 3 6 2 3 2 1 4 8 9 19 38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............88 87 84 80 79 79 78 77 77 77 76 75
RH..............54 57 65 74 79 79 82 85 88 88 90 94
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 9 9
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6
ADI.............15 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.12 7 5 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4
SFC PRES (IN)...998 999 999 999 999 999 999 999 998 998 997 997
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........MAX 29324 MPH-FT.
LVORI...............MAX 6.
ADI.................MAX 36.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
SFC PRESSURE........29.95 TO 30.00 INHG.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........16 6 13 12 7 21 4 10 7 6 4 7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............75 77 79 83 86 89 91 93 94 94 93 93
RH..............94 90 88 77 70 64 60 56 54 56 58 60
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W SW SW SW SW S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 7 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 9 5 9 9 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.6 3.0 2.5 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 9 8 7 7 7 8 9 12 13
LVORI...........6 5 4 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1
ADI.............4 9 14 15 16 19 23 26 36 34 36 33
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 6 11 12 13 14 18 20 29 28 29 26
SFC PRES (IN)...998 999 000 000 000 000 000 999 998 997 996 995
FORECASTER...MARTIN
REQUESTED BY...CATHY GILKESON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617203.4/MHX
.DELDT 07/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL D13OPSRM@NCAGR.GOV
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