792
FXUS62 KMHX 251343
AFDMHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
943 AM EDT TUE AUG 25 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS ENDED.
AVIATION DISCO UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
1) FOG HAS DISSIPATED WITH JUST SOME LEFTOVER LOW CLOUDS THIS
MORNING.
2) REDUCED THUNDERSTORM RISK IS EXPECTED TODAY AND WEDNESDAY IN
THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING LOW, WITH MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER
RETURNING BY THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND AS FRONT WOBBLES BACK
TOWARDS THE COAST.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...ANY LEFTOVER FOG FROM THIS MORNING HAS SINCE
DISSIPATED, BUT LOW CLOUDS STILL GENERALLY REMAIN AROUND THE
CARTERET AND CRAVEN VICINITY THIS MORNING. LATEST SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THESE LOW CLOUDS LIFTING AND DISSIPATING AS WELL
SO WOULD EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO RETURN ONCE AGAIN BY MID
MORNING ACROSS ENC.
KEY MESSAGE 2...GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST
TODAY WILL BE PRIMARILY DRY WITH ONLY AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
STORM POSSIBLE ON AREA BREEZES IN THE AFTERNOON, BUT CARRYING
LESS THAN 15% POP OVER LAND AREAS. ON WEDNESDAY, SURFACE FLOW
BECOMES MORE ONSHORE, KICKING OFF A PERIOD OF INCREASING
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COASTLINE
WITH A MODEST UPTICK OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE.
ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO LIFT ALONG THE
OFFSHORE FRONT THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, PULLING IT BACK TOWARDS THE
COAST AND PROVIDING A BETTER FOCAL POINT FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS AHEAD OF ANOTHER FRONT TO CROSS
THE AREA SAT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN BEHIND SAT'S FRONT ON
SUN.
AVIATION /13Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
# --- AMD NOT SKED HAS BEEN APPENDED TO EWN TAFS AS THE SITE IS
NOT TRANSMITTING THROUGH NORMAL CHANNELS. THE SITE IS STILL
REPORTING VIA TELEPHONE SO IT WILL BE MONITORED, BUT NOT AS
FREQUENTLY AS WHEN IT IS COMPLETELY OPERATIONAL. THE NEXT
CLOSEST ASOS IS AT CHERRY POINT (KNKT). --- #
CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS LED TO FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT,
BUT VIS HAS GRADUALLY IMPROVED WITH DRIER AIR BEING CARRIED INTO
THE FA IN A LIGHT NWERLY BREEZE BEHIND THE FRONT, NOW OFFSHORE.
SUNRISE WILL FURTHER AID IN BURNING OFF THE FOG. DRIER CONDITIONS
EXPECTED TODAY WITH LIGHT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AS FRONT SITS
JUST OFFSHORE LEADING TO VFR THROUGH THE DAY AFTER FOG SCATTERS
OUT.
OUTLOOK: MODEST UPTICK IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
WEDNESDAY IN INCREASINGLY MOIST SW FLOW. FRONT GETS PULLED BACK
INLAND THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH EVEN MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWER/STORM COVERAGE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF ANOTHER FRONT TO CROSS
THE FA SAT.
MARINE
BENIGN BOATING CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK AS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY MEANDERS ACROSS THE REGION, BEING PULLED BACK
AND FORTH BY WEAK WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE PROGRESSING ALONG IT.
QUIET CONDITIONS ONGOING TODAY WITH SEAS AROUND 2-3 FEET WITH A
12-13 SECOND PERIOD PEEKING THROUGH WIND CHOP, WHILE NERLY WINDS
AOB 10KT VEER TO BECOME MORE EERLY THIS AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK: SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, AND
LASTS INTO THE END OF THE WEEK. SEAS SHOULD GENERALLY HOLD
AROUND 2-3FT THROUGH THURSDAY, THEN BUILD TO 3-5FT LATE IN THE
WEEK. THE RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS SLOWLY INCREASES FROM WED ONWARD
WHEN ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE PUSHES THE STALLED BOUNDARY
OFFSHORE BACK TOWARD THE COAST. ANOTHER FRONT WILL CROSS THE
AREA SAT WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING BACK IN BEHIND IT THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MS/CEB/RCF
AVIATION...CEB
MARINE...MS/CEB
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