312
FXUS63 KMKX 160953
AFDMKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
353 AM CST SUN FEB 16 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ROUNDS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS MORNING,
WINDING DOWN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE
0.5" OR LESS OF A DRY SNOW, WITH ACCUMULATIONS UP TO AN INCH
POSSIBLE NEAR THE LAKE.
- GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. A GALE
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OPEN WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.
- A LENGTHY PERIOD OF MUCH COLDER CONDITIONS, WITH BITTERLY COLD
WIND CHILLS AT TIMES, IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST
MID-WEEK. A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM
ISSUED 353 AM CST SUN FEB 16 2025
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY:
LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST INTO THIS MORNING, AS A WEAK WAVE
WITHIN THE BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW MOVES THROUGH. THE SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO WIND DOWN LATE MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE
COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 0.5" ARE POSSIBLE, WITH UP TO AN INCH
NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN DUE TO SOME LAKE EFFECT/ENHANCEMENT.
TEMPERATURES WILL HOLD FAIRLY STEADY TODAY GIVEN THE CLOUDS AND
COLD ADVECTION, WITH MUCH COLDER CONDITIONS TONIGHT AS SKIES
CLEAR OUT AN ARCTIC AIRMASS MOVES IN. LINGERING BREEZY
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH SUB-ZERO TEMPS WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILLS
OF -15 TO -25 OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. A COLD
WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS PERIOD. DESPITE CLEARING
SKIES, TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO TOP OUT IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS, WITH WIND CHILLS ONLY IMPROVING TO -10 TO
-20 FOR THE AFTERNOON.
DDV
LONG TERM
ISSUED 353 AM CST SUN FEB 16 2025
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY:
THE COLDEST TEMPS OF THE UPCOMING ARCTIC BLAST WILL OCCUR MONDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY, WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO
MOST PLACES AND WIND CHILLS OF -20 TO -30. ANOTHER COLD WEATHER
ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR THIS PERIOD, WITH WIND CHILLS
APPROACHING WARNING CRITERIA.
THE WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID-WEEK, WITH
A SLOW RECOVERY THEN EXPECTED THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. DRY
WEATHER IS LIKELY THROUGH THE WEEK, OTHER THAN A SMALL CHANCE
OF SNOW LATE WED INTO WED NIGHT AS A SHORTWAVE ROLLS THROUGH THE
AREA.
DDV
AVIATION
ISSUED 353 AM CST SUN FEB 16 2025
ROUNDS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS MORNING, WINDING
DOWN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE 0.5" OR LESS
OF A DRY SNOW, WITH ACCUMULATIONS UP TO AN INCH POSSIBLE NEAR
THE LAKE. MVFR CEILINGS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TIME
HOURS TODAY ALONG WITH VISIBILITIES IN THE 2 TO 6 MILE RANGE
WHILE IT SNOWS. DECREASING CLOUDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. BREEZY NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WINDS TODAY WILL EASE A BIT TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AS
THE HIGH APPROACHES.
DDV
MARINE
ISSUED 353 AM CST SUN FEB 16 2025
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
LIFT NORTHEAST INTO NORTHEAST UNITED STATES TODAY INTO TONIGHT
WHILE STEADILY DEEPENING. GALE FORCE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
DEVELOP THIS MORNING OVER THE OPEN WATERS BETWEEN THE LOW AND
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SASKATCHEWAN. THE GALES WILL
CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING, WINDING DOWN BY MIDNIGHT. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS PERIOD AS WELL AS THE
GALE WARNING OVER THE OPEN WATERS. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP BY THIS EVENING (LARGELY OVER THE OPEN WATERS) AND
PERSIST INTO AT LEAST EARLY TUESDAY, WITH HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
POSSIBLE FOR A TIME TONIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
DDV
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WIZ052 UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY...WIZ046-WIZ047-WIZ051-WIZ052-WIZ056-
WIZ057-WIZ058-WIZ059-WIZ060-WIZ062-WIZ063-WIZ064-WIZ065-
WIZ066-WIZ067-WIZ068-WIZ069-WIZ070-WIZ071-
WIZ072...MIDNIGHT MONDAY TO 11 AM MONDAY.
LM...GALE WARNING...LMZ080-LMZ261-LMZ362-LMZ364-LMZ366-LMZ563-
LMZ565-LMZ567-LMZ669-LMZ671-LMZ673-LMZ675-LMZ777-LMZ779-
LMZ868-LMZ870-LMZ872-LMZ874-LMZ876-LMZ878 UNTIL MIDNIGHT
MONDAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646 UNTIL 6 AM
MONDAY.
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