362
FXUS63 KMKX 221946
AFDMKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
146 PM CST SAT FEB 22 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- TURNING WARMER FOR THE COMING WEEK, WITH HIGHS INTO THE 40S
STARTING MONDAY.
- SEVERAL LOW TO MEDIUM (25-40%) CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN MONDAY
NIGHT, LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
- SUSTAINED ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL
FOR ICE JAMS & MELTING, WHICH COULD RESULT IN RISES ON
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN RIVERS THROUGH MID-WEEK.
SHORT TERM
ISSUED 146 PM CST SAT FEB 22 2025
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT:
WINDS ARE EASING THIS AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
GRADUALLY WEAKENS ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
QUICKLY FALL THROUGH THE 20S THIS EVENING, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS. MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED AS
WEAK WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
ANOTHER DAY OF SOUTHWEST FLOW ON SUNDAY WILL HELP BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S, WITH A FEW SPOTS ACROSS
SOUTHWESTERN WISCONSIN PERHAPS TOUCHING 40.
BOXELL
LONG TERM
ISSUED 146 PM CST SAT FEB 22 2025
MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY:
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND
AGAIN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, BRINGING 25%-40% CHANCES
FOR LIGHT PRECIPITATION. FOR THE MOST PART, IT LOOKS LIKE
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE WARM ENOUGH TO SUPPORT RAIN DURING THESE
TIMES, THOUGH A FEW SNOWFLAKES MAY MIX IN BRIEF PERIODS.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH MID WEEK WILL BE DECIDEDLY WARMER COMPARED
TO THE LAST FEW WEEKS, WITH DAILY HIGHS MONDAY THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY REACHING THE MID TO EVEN UPPER 40S, AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30. THESE WARMER
TEMPERATURES, ALONG WITH THE LIGHT RAIN, WILL INCREASE THE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW ICE JAMS ON AREA RIVERS BY MID TO LATE WEEK,
AS ICE BEGINS TO THIN AND BREAK UP IN SOME SPOTS.
ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVES THURSDAY AND SATURDAY MAY BRING CHANCES
FOR RAIN OR SNOW, THOUGH FOR NOW BETTER PRECIP CHANCES ARE TO
OUR NORTH AND EAST. TEMPERATURES FOR THE LATTER PORTION OF THE
WORKWEEK WILL VARY BASED ON THE TRACK OF THESE SYSTEMS, BUT
READINGS AT OR ABOVE AVERAGE ARE FAVORED.
BOXELL
AVIATION
ISSUED 146 PM CST SAT FEB 22 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME
AREAS OF MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE MOVING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, AND
ADDITIONAL MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT, BUT CEILINGS
WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE VFR THRESHOLDS. A STRAY FLURRY ISN'T OUT
OF THE QUESTION SUNDAY AFTERNOON, BUT OTHERWISE NO MEANINGFUL
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.
SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF TODAY BEFORE
WINDS TURN LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. SOUTHWEST FLOW RETURNS
TO THE AREA ON SUNDAY.
BOXELL
MARINE
ISSUED 146 PM CST SAT FEB 22 2025
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN US AND LOW PRESSURE MOVES FROM THE
HUDSON BAY INTO QUEBEC. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
DAY ON SUNDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE CANADIAN GREAT
PLAINS AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVES FROM THE SOUTHERN HUDSON BAY
INTO QUEBEC.
ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PASSES THROUGH THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED JUST AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE, BEFORE WINDS TURN NORTHWESTERLY AS IT PASSES.
BOXELL
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...LMZ645-LMZ646 UNTIL 3 PM SATURDAY.
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