185
FXUS63 KMKX 191950
AFDMKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
250 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN RETURNS SUNDAY AFTERNOON (90%+ POTENTIAL), WITH A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT.
- WINDY CONDITIONS LATER SUNDAY AND ON MONDAY.
- WARMER WITH ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES TUESDAY AND THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
ISSUED 250 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2025
REST OF THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY:
LOW CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED OUT THIS AFTERNOON, WITH FILTERED
SUNSHINE ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT, WITH LOWS
FALLING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S TO AROUND 40.
LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM TOMORROW MORNING IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS,
QUICKLY LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD TO NEAR THE QUAD CITIES BY
TOMORROW EVENING. RAIN WILL DEVELOP AND LIFT NORTHWARD ON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AS ASCENT INCREASES ACROSS A STRENGTHENING WARM FRONT
TO OUR SOUTH. ADDITIONAL RAIN AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED SUNDAY EVENING AND NIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES ACROSS THE
REGION. SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS SUNDAY
EVENING AND NIGHT. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL LOOKS TO BE BETWEEN
ABOUT A HALF AND THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH IN MOST SPOTS, WITH
SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WEST OF MADISON.
BRISK EAST WINDS ON SUNDAY WILL TURN WESTERLY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY MORNING AS THE LOW BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH OF THE
REGION. GUSTS TO AROUND 30-35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. SOME SHOWERS
MAY LINGER INTO MONDAY MORNING, BUT SHOULD LARGELY END BY
AFTERNOON. HIGHS MONDAY WILL BE IN THE MID 50S.
BOXELL
LONG TERM
ISSUED 250 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2025
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY:
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY MOVES ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY, BEFORE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE BRINGS A
40-60% CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
EVENING.
THE ACTIVE PATTERN CONTINUES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK, WITH
ADDITIONAL CHANCES (30-50%) FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HIGHS DURING THIS STRETCH LOOK TO GENERALLY
BE IN THE 60S, THOUGH WE MAY TOUCH 70 ON WEDNESDAY DEPENDING ON
THE AMOUNT OF CLEARING. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 40S.
BOXELL
AVIATION
ISSUED 250 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND ASSOCIATED LOWER CLOUDS WILL LIFT
NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON, WITH FLIGHT CONDITIONS
EVENTUALLY FALLING TO MVFR AND IFR BY LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON
INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
WINDS TODAY WILL REMAIN FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST, BECOMING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING. WINDS THEN TURN EASTERLY EARLY
SUNDAY, WITH STEADY EASTERLY WINDS INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
BOXELL
MARINE
ISSUED 250 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2025
VARIABLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
PUSHES OVER LAKE MICHIGAN. THE HIGH QUICKLY SHIFTS EASTWARD ON
SUNDAY AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. EXPECT INCREASING EAST TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP
SUNDAY AS LAKE MICHIGAN SITS IN BETWEEN THE DEPARTING HIGH AND
AN APPROACHING LOW. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS LIKELY FOR THE
NEARSHORE WATERS DURING THIS TIME DUE TO THE BUILDS WINDS AND
WAVES. THE LOW WILL LIFT ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE LAKE ON
MONDAY, WITH WINDS TURNING WESTERLY ACROSS THE LAKE AS IT
DEPARTS. GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED, BUT SOME GALES
CAN NOT BE RULED OUT, ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE OPEN WATERS AND ACROSS THE WISCONSIN NEARSHORE WATERS.
BOXELL
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
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