672
FXUS63 KMKX 050048
AFDMKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
748 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- AN AIR QUALITY ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON THURSDAY DUE
TO SMOKE FROM WILDFIRES.
- MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS LIKELY THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH A RETURN
OF SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF NORMAL
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED 745 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2025
NO MAJOR CHANCES TO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME. SOME FOG OVER THE
LAKE MAY SNEAK ONTO THE NEARSHORE AREAS TONIGHT BUT LITTLE TO NO
IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS.
KUROSKI
SHORT TERM
ISSUED 229 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2025
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT:
AFTERNOON CUMULUS WILL DECREASE BY EARLY EVENING WITH THE LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING, WITH MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS THEN EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON THURSDAY UNDER HIGH
PRESSURE, WITH INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS BY THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. WILL LIKELY SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF DIURNAL
CUMULUS AS WELL. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE NEAR NORMAL, ASIDE FROM A
FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL NEAR THE LAKE UNDER ONSHORE WINDS.
SHORT TERM MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW NEAR SURFACE SMOKE POTENTIAL
CONTINUING TONIGHT INTO AT LEAST EARLY THURSDAY. THE AIR QUALITY
ADVISORY WAS EXTENDED UNTIL NOON TOMORROW AS A RESULT.
DDV
LONG TERM
ISSUED 229 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2025
FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
A PAIR OF WEAK SHORTWAVES ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH LATE
WEEK, WITH LOW END SHOWER/STORM CHANCES RETURNING FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED JUST TO THE NORTHEAST
MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH SUBSIDENCE AND LOW LEVEL DRY AIR TO KEEP
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN DRY, SO KEPT PRECIP CHANCES GENERALLY LESS
THAN 25 PERCENT. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF
NORMAL FRI/SAT, EXCEPT FOR COOLER CONDITIONS NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN
UNDER ONSHORE WINDS.
A PAIR OF STRONGER WAVES ARE THEN EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY,
WITH A LITTLE BETTER MOISTURE SURGE AHEAD OF THE SUNDAY SYSTEM.
SHOWER/STORM CHANCES ARE THUS ON THE HIGHER END (50-80%)
SUNDAY, WITH ENOUGH FORCING AND LINGERING MOISTURE FOR A 40-60%
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS MONDAY. THERE REMAIN SOME
DIFFERENCES AMONG MODELS WITH THE FINER DETAILS OF TIMING WITH
THE HIGHEST PRECIP CHANCES, BUT OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING
FOR A COUPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS/STORMS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. NEAR
NORMAL TEMPS SUNDAY WILL COOL OFF A FEW DEGREES FOR MONDAY
BEHIND THE FIRST SYSTEM.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL LIKELY THEN BRING A RETURN OF DRY CONDITIONS
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING UP THROUGH
MID-WEEK.
DDV
AVIATION
ISSUED 745 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2025
MAY SEE SOME LINGERING VISIBILITES LESS THAN 6 NM DUE TO SMOKE
THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT, POSSIBLY INTO THURSDAY AS WELL. SKIES
WILL THEN BE MOSTLY CLEAR LATER TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING,
WITH INCREASING MID AND HIGH CLOUDS BY THE AFTERNOON, ALONG WITH
SOME SCATTERED AFTERNOON CUMULUS AGAIN. NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 10 KNOTS THROUGH THURSDAY. WE
CANNOT RULE OUT SOME FOG OVER THE LAKE PUSHING INLAND A BIT FOR
A PERIOD LATER TONIGHT WITH SOME MVFR CIGS NEAR THE SHORELINE IN
ADDITIONA TO THE SMOKE CONCERNS.
KUROSKI
MARINE
ISSUED 229 PM CDT WED JUN 4 2025
HIGH PRESSURE OF 30.0 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL
LARGELY STAY PUT THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH MAINLY DRY WEATHER
EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE ACROSS THE NORTH THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH NORTHERLY WINDS
10 KNOTS OR LESS ACROSS THE SOUTH. SHOWER AND STORMS CHANCES
ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A PAIR OF SHORTWAVES MOVE
THROUGH. WINDS WILL BE A BIT MORE ELEVATED DURING THIS TIME
FRAME AS THESE SYSTEMS PASS THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES.
VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED A LITTLE AT TIMES TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY DUE TO SMOKE, WITH EVEN LOWER VISIBILITES POSSIBLE IF
FOG DEVELOPS.
DDV
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
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