826  
FXUS63 KMKX 032012  
AFDMKX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI  
312 PM CDT WED SEP 3 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- CHILLY LOW TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT, WITH BELOW-  
NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING INTO THIS WEEKEND.  
 
- A ROUND OF SHOWERS IS LIKELY THURSDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
- TEMPERATURES SLOWLY WARM BACK UP EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
ISSUED 312 PM CDT WED SEP 3 2025  
 
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT:  
 
CLOUDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS HIGH  
PRESSURE CENTERED TO THE SOUTH CLIPS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. QUIET  
WEATHER IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY THURSDAY, WITH WELL BELOW  
NORMAL HIGH TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S. ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN  
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY EVENING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT  
AS LOW PRESSURE ZIPS THROUGH NORTHERN WISCONSIN. MODELS ARE  
SHOWING LITTLE TO NO INSTABILITY WITH THIS ROUND OF RAIN, SO  
LEFT OUT ANY MENTION OF THUNDER. IT CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE THE  
HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL PASS BY TO THE NORTH, CLOSER TO THE  
CENTER OF THE SURFACE LOW. AMOUNTS ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN ARE  
EXPECTED TO BE 0.25" OR LESS.  
 
DDV  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
ISSUED 312 PM CDT WED SEP 3 2025  
 
FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST FRIDAY  
INTO THE WEEKEND UNDER BROAD NORTHWEST FLOW. BELOW NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS  
PERIOD. SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK,  
BRINGING GRADUALLY WARMING TEMPERATURES TO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN.  
DRY WEATHER IS LIKELY TO PERSIST INTO THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT  
WEEK.  
 
DDV  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
ISSUED 312 PM CDT WED SEP 3 2025  
 
THE BACK EDGE OF THE SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT WILL  
CLEAR SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. LINGERING MVFR  
CEILINGS IN THE SOUTHEAST SHOULD LARGELY EXIT WITH THE SHOWERS.  
WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS BEHIND THE  
SHOWERS/FRONT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH BREEZY  
NORTHWEST WINDS. DECREASING SKIES ARE THEN EXPECTED THIS  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A ROUND OF VFR CUMULUS IS LIKELY LATER  
TOMORROW MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON, WITH CLOUD BASES IN THE  
4-5 KFT RANGE. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE LIGHTER  
THAN TODAY, BUT WILL STILL REMAIN ON THE BREEZY SIDE.  
 
DDV  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
ISSUED 312 PM CDT WED SEP 3 2025  
 
LOW PRESSURE OF 29.4 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO WILL MEANDER  
NORTH AND THEN NORTHWEST TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY WHILE DEEPENING  
TO 29.2 INCHES. THE LOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FRIDAY,  
BEFORE LIFTING NORTHEAST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. BREEZY WEST  
TO NORTHWEST WINDS THROUGH TONIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY BY  
THURSDAY NIGHT AND THEN WESTERLY BY FRIDAY MORNING ANS A  
SECONDARY LOW OF 29.3 INCHES MOVES THROUGH NORTHERN LAKE  
MICHIGAN. THIS LOW WILL BRING A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT, WITH  
INCREASING CONFIDENCE IN A PERIOD OF GALES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO  
FRIDAY MORNING. THUS A GALE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS  
PERIOD. WINDS WILL THEN GRADUALLY EASE LATER FRIDAY INTO THE  
WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE OF 30.3 INCHES MOVES IN FROM THE  
NORTHWEST.  
 
DDV  
 

 
   
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
WI...NONE.  
LM...GALE WATCH...LMZ080-LMZ261-LMZ362-LMZ364-LMZ366-LMZ563-LMZ565-  
LMZ567-LMZ669-LMZ671-LMZ673-LMZ675-LMZ777-LMZ779-LMZ868-  
LMZ870-LMZ872-LMZ874-LMZ876-LMZ878...1 AM FRIDAY TO 1 PM  
FRIDAY.  
 
GALE WATCH...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646...1 AM FRIDAY TO 10  
AM FRIDAY.  
 

 
 

 
 
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