189
FNUS73 KMKX 171303
FWSMKX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVERWOOD...DANE COUNTY PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
703 AM CST MON NOV 17 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON NOVEMBER 17.
PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IF CONDITIONS BECOME
UNREPRESENTATIVE OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS/CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
BY MID TO LATE MORNING. THIS AFTERNOON WINDS WILL TURN TO SOUTHEASTERLY
AND REMAIN LIGHT, AROUND 1 TO 4 PM, THEN BECOME LIGHT EASTERLY BY THIS
EVENING. UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE AROUND 1 TO 2 THOUSAND FEET WITH LIGHT TRANSPORT
WINDS. MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE LOWER 30S. RH
VALUES COULD FLUCTUATE BY A PERCENTAGE POINT OR TWO IF DEWPOINTS FALL A
DEGREE OR TWO MORE THAN FORECAST. THIS COULD BRING MINIMUM RH VALUES INTO
THE UPPER 20S, BUT CONFIDENCE ON THIS OCCURING IS LOW. A WINTRY MIX OF
RAIN AND SNOW WILL MOVE IN LATE THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTO TUESDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........34 AT IGNITION...MAX 46.
RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3
TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /3000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
/8100 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........10 17 24 35 60 75 86 97 98
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............34 38 41 43 44 45 46 44 43
RH..............56 48 41 36 35 33 32 35 38
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N S S SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 4 4 4 4 4 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW NW NW W W W SW SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 5 7 8 8 6 5 2 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
EVENING, THEN RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 13
TO 14 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1200 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........98 99 99 99 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 99
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
TEMP............40 39 38 38 37 36 35 35 34 34 34 34
RH..............44 50 54 57 61 69 78 82 92 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 4 3 4 6 6 6 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 6 7 6 10 10 11 13 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S SE SE E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14
SDSPL KT-FT/10001 2 2 2 2 4 6 7 7 7 8 10
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN IN THE MORNING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 41.
RH..................MIN 85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (21100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........98 97 97 97 97 97 97 95 93 90 88 82
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
TEMP............34 35 36 37 39 40 40 40 40 39 39 39
RH..............100 100 100 100 92 92 92 89 89 89 89 85
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E NE
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 8 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 16 16 17 18 18 20 20 20 17 15
SDSPL KT-FT/100012 14 14 15 17 19 19 21 21 21 18 15
FORECASTER...PATTERSON
REQUESTED BY...LARS HIGDON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526091.0/MKX
.DELDT 11/17/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL HIGDON.LARS@DANECOUNTY.GOV
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