462
FNUS73 KMKX 171434
FWSMKX
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRDS FOOT HILL...WDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
834 AM CST MON NOV 17 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON NOVEMBER 17.
PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IF CONDITIONS BECOME
UNREPRESENTATIVE OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS/CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A SFC RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
THIS AFTERNOON, PROVIDING LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THAT WILL THEN BECOME
SOUTHEASTERLY THIS EVENING OVER THE BURN SITE. WHILE CONDITIONS SHOULD
BE MOSLTY SUNNY TO START THE BURN, THE LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT
MIXING HEIGHTS TO 2100 FT AMID POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL. WITH THE RECENT DRY
CONDITIONS, MIN RH VALUES WILL BE BETWEEN 30 TO 35%. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON, WITH RAIN TO A RAIN/SNOW MIX EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO
TOMORROW.
GIVEN THE BURN WILL OCCUR ON THE TOP OF A HILL, EXPECT MORE EXPOSURE TO THE
WIND. HOWEVER, WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT, WINDS SHOULDN'T DRIVE
UNANTICIPATED FIRE BEHAVIOR.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 46.
RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2100 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /10200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
/12900 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........19 38 65 78 91 95
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............43 45 46 46 44 42
RH..............36 33 34 34 36 39
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W SW SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 2 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 4 4 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.1 2.0 1.7 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW W W W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 6 5 3 3
SDSPL KT-FT/100010 13 10 7 2 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
EVENING, THEN RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........99 100 100 99 99 99 100 100 100 100 100 99
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
TEMP............40 38 37 37 36 36 35 35 35 35 34 35
RH..............44 50 54 56 64 69 75 78 85 96 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 4 3 5 5 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 5 6 6 6 7 10 10 12 13 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S SE SE E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 7 7 7 8 10 12 13 13
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 1 2 2 3 4 6 6 7 7 8 8
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN IN THE MORNING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 41.
RH..................MIN 82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (21300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........97 97 97 97 97 98 98 96 95 93 91 87
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
TEMP............35 35 36 38 39 40 40 40 40 40 40 40
RH..............100 100 100 100 96 96 96 96 92 89 85 85
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E NE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 16 16 17 18 20 20 20 18 17 16
SDSPL KT-FT/10007 12 14 15 17 19 21 21 21 20 18 16
FORECASTER...MILLER
REQUESTED BY...CORY PETERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526114.0/MKX
.DELDT 11/17/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CORY.PETERS@WISCONSIN.GOV
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