786
FXUS63 KMKX 291649
AFDMKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1049 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- WEATHER WEATHER ADVISORY WAS CANCELLED TO THE WEST AND WILL
REMAIN IN EFFECT ONLY UNTIL NOON TO THE EAST.
- A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED TO THE WEST AND REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL NOON TO THE EAST FOR NEAR ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS.
- A STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF LAKE MICHIGAN THROUGH
TODAY AND TONIGHT BUT WILL LIKE BE CONVERTED OVER TO A GALE
WARNING LATER TODAY. MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS ALSO
EXPECTED, WITH A FEW AREAS OF HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY POSSIBLE IN
FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE LAKE.
- LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY, WITH 0.5 TO 1 INCH
EXPECTED, MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I-90/I-94.
UPDATE
ISSUED 1020 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
WE ARE ENDING THE ADVISORIES EARLIER THAN EXPECTED AS SNOW HAS
ENDED AND VISIBILITIES ARE NOT A CONCERN FOR THE MOST PARTS AS
WINDS HAVE COME DOWN AS WELL. THE EAST WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
UNTIL NOON BUT THEREAFTER BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN BUT NO
MAJOR IMPACTS FROM SNOW/WIND EXPECTED BEYOND NOON.
NO OTHER MAJOR CONCERNS TODAY THOUGH WE WILL BE LOOKING TOWARD
TUESDAY WITH A BRIEF QUICK HITTING SNOW DURING THE DAY. IMPACTS
APPEAR LIMITED AT THIS TIME.
KUROSKI
SHORT TERM
ISSUED 443 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT:
SNOWFALL APPEARS TO HAVE KEPT A SLIGHT INVERSION ALIVE THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN, WITH
WINDS FAILING TO REACH 40 MPH IN MOST AREAS. HOWEVER, AS SNOW
BEGINS TO TAPER OFF AND MORE DRY AIR IS ABLE TO WORK ITS WAY TO
THE SURFACE, EXPECTING HIGHER WIND GUSTS TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST
THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH NOON CST IN SOUTHWESTERN WISCONSIN AND THROUGH 6 PM CST
IN SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.
SNOWFALL HAS A SHARP CUTOFF ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL TO SOUTHWESTERN
WISCONSIN RIGHT NOW, WITH EXPECTATIONS FOR AN END TO STEADY
SNOWFALL FROM WEST TO EAST BETWEEN 6 AND 10 AM CST. AN INCH OR
TWO OF ADDITIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED BEFORE ENDING ACROSS THE
AREA. SNOWFALL ON TOP OF WET ROADS FROM RAIN YESTERDAY WILL
MAKE FOR A SLICK MORNING COMMUTE ON UNTREATED ROADS, AND
BLOWING AND DRIFTING WITHIN AREAS OF HIGH WINDS MAY CONTINUE FOR
SEVERAL HOURS AFTER SNOWFALL ENDS. ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS HIGH
IN VERY GUSTY WINDS THROUGH TODAY, SNOWPACK MAY BE TOO SHALLOW
TO PRODUCE CONSISTENT BLOWING SNOW, WHICH WOULD RESULT IN
VISIBILITIES REMAINING HIGH AND TRAVEL IMPACTS REMAINING
MINIMAL. IF THIS OCCURS, WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORIES MAY BE CANCELED EARLY. HOWEVER, THIS WILL BE
DECIDED AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.
WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AS
STRONG LOW PRESSURE EXITS INTO QUEBEC, ALTHOUGH THEY WILL
REMAIN BREEZY. AS WINDS FALL BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA (45
MPH), ANY LINGERING BLOWING SNOW WILL ALSO END. EXPECTING LOWS
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO TO THE LOW TEENS, WITH WIND
CHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO.
MH
LONG TERM
ISSUED 443 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY:
OVERALL NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS EXTENDED WITH NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW SETTING UP ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH THE WEEK WITH A
FEW CHANCES FOR SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW.
FIRST OF THESE OPPORTUNITIES WILL BE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGS DOWN ACROSS THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES REGION. BEING ESTABLISHED IN THIS COLD PATTERN WITH
TEMPS RANGING FROM THE 20S TO TEENS MAINLY EXPECTING SNOW WITH
THIS WAVE. AMOUNTS ARE TRENDING ON THE LIGHTER SIDE WITH 0.5 TO
AROUND 1 INCH AND MAINLY LOOKING TO IMPACT THE NORTHEASTERN
PORTION OF THE CWA TOWARD EAST-CENTRAL WI. THE NEXT OPPORTUNITY
FOR ANOTHER BOUT OF SNOW WILL BE ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
TROUGH DIGGING ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST ACCOMPANIED BY A COLD
FRONT. WILL SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHTER SNOW GENERALLY LESS THAN
AN INCH WITH THIS ROUND.
BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT IS THEN LOOKING DRIER AS A COLDER CANADIAN
AIRMASS SETTLES OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. TEMP
TREND THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ARE LEANING COLDER WITH TEMPS RANGING
FROM HIGHS IN THE TEENS TO LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO AROUND
ZERO OVERNIGHT. THEN THE WEEKEND IS TRENDING A BIT MILDER AS RIDGE
BUILDS IN THE UPPER MIDWEST BEGINNING SATURDAY. THERE CONTINUES
TO BE HINTS OF A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN RETURNING TOWARD THE END OF
THE WEEKEND INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK.
WAGNER
AVIATION
ISSUED 1045 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY TODAY WITH MVFR CIGS AND VFR/MVFR VSBYS
AT TIMES WITH BLOWING SNOW BUT OVERALL IMPACTS LIKELY TO BE
LIMITED AT THIS TIME. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN TONIGHT
BECOMING MORE MODEST THURSDAY. VFR CIGS RETURN LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST THOUGH WE MAY SEE
SCT 3500FT CIGS THROUGH TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY FURTHER EAST. INTO
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER QUICK HITTING SNOW ARRIVES BRINGING
UP TO A HALF INCH WITH BRIEF VSBY REDUCTION AS WELL AS SOME MVFR
CIGS FOR AT LEAST A PERIOD TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.
KUROSKI
MARINE
ISSUED 443 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN WILL
CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AND LIFT NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH TODAY.
NORTHWESTERLY STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE ALREADY ONGOING ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE LAKE AND ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH THROUGH THE MORNING AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS
NORTHEASTWARD. A STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE OPEN WATERS,
WITH A GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR NEARSHORE REGIONS OF SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING, AS LOW PRESSURE
EXITS INTO WESTERN QUEBEC, STORM FORCE GUSTS WILL DIMINISH TO
GALE FORCE ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS AND GALES WILL END IN THE
NEARSHORE REGIONS OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. A DOWNGRADE TO GALE
WARNING WILL BE ISSUED AS CONDITIONS IMPROVE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. GALES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS. MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT TODAY AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING IN AREAS THAT SEE
GALES. A FEW AREAS OF HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN TODAY WITHIN THE
STRONGEST WINDS. WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTHWEST AND WILL DIMINISH
BELOW GALE FORCE TUESDAY MORNING, BUT WILL REMAIN BRISK THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
MH
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...WIND ADVISORY...WIZ051-WIZ052-WIZ058-WIZ059-WIZ060-WIZ064-
WIZ065-WIZ066-WIZ070-WIZ071-WIZ072 UNTIL NOON MONDAY.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WIZ051-WIZ052-WIZ058-WIZ059-WIZ060-
WIZ064-WIZ065-WIZ066-WIZ069-WIZ070-WIZ071-WIZ072 UNTIL
NOON MONDAY.
LM...STORM WARNING...LMZ080-LMZ261-LMZ362-LMZ364-LMZ366-LMZ563-
LMZ565-LMZ567-LMZ669-LMZ671-LMZ673-LMZ675-LMZ777-LMZ779-
LMZ868-LMZ870-LMZ872-LMZ874-LMZ876-LMZ878 UNTIL 6 AM
TUESDAY.
GALE WARNING...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646 UNTIL MIDNIGHT
TUESDAY.
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