975
FXUS63 KMKX 300327 AAA
AFDMKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
927 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- THE LINGERING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES SHOULD
DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE AREA, WITH NO SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED.
- THE GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS
ALSO EXPECTED INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
- LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY, WITH AROUND 0.5 TO 1 INCH
OF SNOW ACCUMULATION, MAINLY TOWARD EAST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. A
BRIEF LIGHT SNOW EVENT IS POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED 927 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING, AS MOISTURE REMAINS IN THE DENDRITE SNOW GROWTH ZONE IN
THE LOW LEVELS. THIS SHOULD GRADUALLY DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT OR
SO, AS SOME DRIER AIR ON NORTHWEST WINDS GRADUALLY PUSHES
SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA. THESE GUSTY WINDS WILL PREVENT ANY
ACCUMULATIONS FROM OCCURRING.
LOW CLOUDS MAY LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS CENTRAL
AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA, UNTIL SOME DRIER AIR
WORKS IN AND MAY TRY TO SCATTER OUT SOME OF THESE CLOUDS. LOWS
SHOULD DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO OVERNIGHT, WITH
WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO.
WOOD
SHORT TERM
ISSUED 300 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT:
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SWING SOUTH OF WI TONIGHT ALLOWING WINDS TO
WEAKEN AND CLEARING SKIES TO SOME DEGREE. HOWEVER, A WEAK LOW
WILL BE SWINGING DOWN FROM ALBERTA AND AS THE HIGH PUSHES OUT
THE WEAK LOW WILL SWING THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES GIVING
US A BRIEF HIT OF SNOW. THIS SYSTEM IS FAIRLY WEAK BUT THERE
WILL BE A WEAK SHORTWAVE AS WELL AS SOME LOW LEVEL WAA AS A WEAK
LLJ FEATURE PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION. MOISTURE DOES NOT LOOK
LIKE AN ISSUE IT JUST LOOKS LIKE THE SPEED OF THE SYSTEM AND
LIGHTER QPF WILL LEAD TO LOW TOTALS AROUND A 0.5-1.0 INCHES
TOWARD EAST CENTRAL WI AND LESS AWAY FROM THERE. RATES WILL
LIKELY PEAK AT 0.25 IN/HR. OTHERWISE THIS SYSTEM WILL ENTER LATE
TUESDAY MORNING FROM THE NORTHWEST AND EXIT THE AREA WEST TO
EAST BY THE EARLY EVENING.
TUESDAY EVENING/NIGHT THERE MAY BE ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SNOW
SHOWERS AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SWINGS THROUGH THOUGH THE MOISTURE
WILL BE EXITING THE REGION AND MAY ALLOW US TO STAY DRY.
OTHERWISE CHILLY TONIGHT WITH APPARENT TEMPERATURES IN THE
NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGITS LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN WI.
KUROSKI
LONG TERM
ISSUED 300 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY:
WEDNESDAY WILL FEATURE ANOTHER QUICK HITTING AFTERNOON SYSTEM
BRINGING SOME LIGHT SNOW. THIS IS LIKELY EVEN LIGHTER THAN
TUESDAY AS THE REGION LACKS MUCH IN THE WAY OF FORCING BUT
BROAD, WEAK MIDLEVEL FGEN WILL BE ENOUGH TO BRING SOME SNOW
GIVEN THE MOISTURE CONTENT FROM 850-700MB. THIS WILL VERY
QUICKLY EXIT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON/EARLY WED EVENING. BEST
CHANCES(~60%) WILL BE IN SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE.
WHILE MODELS DRY US OUT A BIT MORE LATER THIS WEEK AND THROUGH
MOST OF THE WEEKEND AS A BAND OF HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES
ENTRENCHED OVER SOUTHERN WI, I AM NOT SOLD ON THAT SOLUTION.
THIS IS DUE TO MERIDIONAL FLOW ALOFT PUTTING US IN POSITION FOR
WAVES OF SHORTWAVES AND WITH MODELS INDICATIVE OF MOISTURE BEING
SUFFICIENT WE COULD EASILY SEE A FEW MORE SCENARIOS LIKE TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY WITH QUICK HITTING BOUTS OF SNOW. HOWEVER, THERE
DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE ANY RISK FOR A STRONGER SYSTEM PUSHING
THROUGH AT LEAST UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MONDAY SHOWS THE NEXT CHANCE FOR A STRONGER STORM THAT COULD
BRING A LITTLE BIT HIGHER QPF/SNOW THOUGH UNCERTAINTY IS HIGH
AND THE EVENT STILL LOOKS LIKE NOTHING SIGNIFICANT AT THIS TIME.
BUT THIS STORM AT LEAST CARRIES SOME BETTER FORCING SUPPORT.
OTHERWISE CHILLY TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH
LOWS MOSTLY INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS.
KUROSKI
AVIATION
ISSUED 927 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING, AS MOISTURE REMAINS IN THE LOW LEVELS. THIS SHOULD
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT OR SO, AS SOME DRIER AIR ON
NORTHWEST WINDS GRADUALLY PUSHES SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA. THESE
GUSTY WINDS WILL PREVENT ANY ACCUMULATIONS FROM OCCURRING. THE
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL LINGER OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING.
LOW CLOUDS WITH CEILINGS AROUND 2000 FEET AGL MAY LINGER INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA, UNTIL SOME DRIER AIR WORKS IN AND MAY TRY TO
SCATTER OUT SOME OF THE CEILINGS. THINK THAT THESE CEILINGS
SHOULD LINGER OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY, GRADUALLY LOWERING WITH
THE ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL WEAKEN
SOMEWHAT TUESDAY MORNING AND BECOME WEST SOUTHWEST WITH SOME
GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
THE LIGHT SNOW SHOULD PUSH SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EXIT THE SOUTHEAST TUESDAY EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES
SHOULD BE UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH PER HOUR AT BEST, WITH THE SNOW
CHARACTER FLUFFY AND POWDERY. MAY SEE VISIBILITY DROP TO 1 TO 2
MILES AT TIMES IN THE AFTERNOON WITH THE SNOW.
WOOD
MARINE
ISSUED 927 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
STRONG LOW PRESSURE AROUND 28.9 INCHES WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN
QUEBEC OVERNIGHT. NORTHWEST GALES WILL LINGER OVERNIGHT, BEFORE
DECREASING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE GALE WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED
INTO TUESDAY MORNING AS WELL. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY
TUESDAY INTO MOST OF THE REST OF THE WEEK.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
LAKE MICHIGAN INTO LATER TONIGHT FOR LINGERING GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS AND ELEVATED WAVES.
HIGH PRESSURE AROUND 30.1 INCHES WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST INTO THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, WITH STRONG LOW PRESSURE
AROUND 28.9 INCHES OVER HUDSON BAY. THIS WILL BRING STRONGER
NORTHWEST WINDS TO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE LAKE, WITH A FEW
GALE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE.
KUROSKI/WOOD
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
LM...GALE WARNING...LMZ080-LMZ261-LMZ362-LMZ364-LMZ366-LMZ563-
LMZ565-LMZ567-LMZ669-LMZ671-LMZ673-LMZ675-LMZ777-LMZ779-
LMZ868-LMZ870-LMZ872-LMZ874-LMZ876-LMZ878 UNTIL 3 AM
TUESDAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646 UNTIL 3 AM
TUESDAY.
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