578
FXUS63 KMKX 100812
AFDMKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
212 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW TODAY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA. 1-2, LOCALLY UP TO 3 INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
- SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING.
GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH THE SNOW WILL RESULT IN DECREASED
VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
- MILD TO START THE WORKWEEK.
SHORT TERM
ISSUED 212 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY:
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION
THIS MORNING. THIS MORNING'S SNOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
SHORTWAVE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY FOCUSED EAST OF I-39/90, WITH THE
HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE KETTLE MORAINE. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ARE SOMEWHAT MARGINAL NEAR THE LAKESHORE, WITH MID
TO UPPER 30S NOTED, AND A BRIEF PERIOD OF RAIN/SNOW MIX IS
POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA BEFORE TEMPERATURES COOL A FEW DEGREES.
OVERALL LOOK FOR 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW EAST OF I-39/90 THROUGH
NOON, LOCALLY UP TO 3 ALONG THE KETTLE MORAINE.
A BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED MID DAY AS THE INITIAL
WAVE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA (SOME CLEARING IS POSSIBLE AS WELL).
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A SECOND, STRONGER NORTHERN STREAM
SHORTWAVE WILL THEN PUSH INTO THE AREA MID AFTERNOON, AND THIS
SHOULD BRING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BACK INTO THE REGION. THESE
DON'T LOOK TO BE TRUE SNOW SQUALLS, BUT GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO REDUCED VISIBILITY WITH THIS ACTIVITY. SNOW
SHOWERS MAY THEN LINGER INTO TONIGHT ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN
PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA, AS ANOTHER LOBE OF VORTICITY
SWEEPS ACROSS THE REGION.
HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 30S, WITH FALLING
TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON AS COLD ADVECTION INCREASES. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO LOW 20S.
SUNDAY WILL BE A FAIRLY PLEASANT DAY, WITH HIGHS AROUND 30 AND
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
BOXELL
LONG TERM
ISSUED 212 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY:
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT OF A ROLLER COASTER THIS WEEK AS A
SERIES OF SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THE WORKWEEK, WITH HIGHS
MONDAY AND TUESDAY IN THE 40S. A CLIPPER AND ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON TUESDAY. THERE WILL
INITIALLY BE A CHANCE (30-40%) FOR RAIN ON TUESDAY, FOLLOWED BY
CHANCES FOR SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS COLDER AIR
BUILDS INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES BRIEFLY WARM ONCE AGAIN FOR
THURSDAY, BEFORE ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY INTO
THE WEEKEND.
BOXELL
AVIATION
ISSUED 212 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
MVFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING.
LIGHT SNOW WILL THEN OVERSPREAD THE TERMINALS BEFORE DAYBREAK,
CONTINUING INTO MID DAY. IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY ARE LIKELY
WITH THIS ACTIVITY. A BRIEF BREAK IN THE SNOW IS EXPECTED EARLY
AFTERNOON, WITH A POTENTIAL IMPROVEMENT TO VFR. ANOTHER ROUND OF
SNOW SHOWERS IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING, WITH MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS ONCE
AGAIN.
WINDS WILL INITIALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING,
BECOMING MORE WESTERLY AND THEN NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH THE DAY.
GUSTS WILL PICK UP CONSIDERABLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING,
CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
BOXELL
MARINE
ISSUED 212 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
WEAK LOW PRESSURE AROUND 30.0 INCHES OVER NORTHERN MINNESOTA WILL
DIG SOUTHWARD AND WEAK LOW PRESSURE AROUND 30.0 INCHES OVER
SOUTHERN MISSOURI WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD EARLY THIS MORNING.
THESE SYSTEMS WILL MERGE OVER THE GREAT LAKES TODAY, AND THIS AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN TO 29.5 INCHES AS IT LIFTS INTO
EASTERN ONTARIO TONIGHT. EXPECT WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE
THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE AROUND 30.6 INCHES
BUILDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. NORTHWEST GALES ARE EXPECTED,
AND A GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. WINDS GRADUALLY EASE SUNDAY EVENING INTO MONDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN
BY TUESDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM, WHICH IS PROGGED
TO TRAVERSE NORTH OF LAKE MICHIGAN THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK.
BOXELL
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
LM...GALE WARNING...LMZ080-LMZ567-LMZ669-LMZ671-LMZ673-LMZ675-
LMZ777-LMZ779-LMZ868-LMZ870-LMZ872-LMZ874-LMZ876-
LMZ878...3 AM SUNDAY TO NOON SUNDAY.
GALE WARNING...LMZ261-LMZ362-LMZ364-LMZ366-LMZ563-LMZ565...3
AM SUNDAY TO 9 AM SUNDAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646...2 PM
SATURDAY TO 3 PM SUNDAY.
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