418
FXUS63 KMKX 241845
AFDMKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1245 PM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A BRIEF ROUND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED MAINLY NORTH OF I-94 THIS
AFTERNOON, FROM 2 TO 6 PM. TOTALS UP TO A HALF AN INCH
(LOCALLY AS HIGH AS AN INCH) ARE MOST LIKELY FOR AREAS FROM
MARQUETTE THROUGH SHEBOYGAN COUNTIES. SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE
MAY MIX IN FARTHER SOUTH TOWARDS I-94. THE QUICK HITTING SNOW
AND POTENTIAL GLAZE WILL LIKELY RESULT SLICK SPOTS FOR THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING COMMUTE, ESPECIALLY ON ANY UNTREATED ROADS.
- A DUSTING OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE NORTH ON THURSDAY
- MILD AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY
SHORT TERM
ISSUED 1245 PM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT:
A SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN MID TO LATE AFTERNOON TODAY. A QUICK ROUND OF
PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM, MAINLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW
NORTH TOWARDS THE FOND DU LAC AND SHEBOYGAN AREAS. FARTHER SOUTH
ON THE TAIL END OF THE LINE OF PRECIP TOWARDS THE I-94
CORRIDOR, THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING
DRIZZLE FOR A TIME. THIS IS DUE TO THE BETTER FORCING COMBINING
WITH POCKETS OF DRIER AIR AND THUS A LACK OF ICE CRYSTALS. THERE
HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF A LIGHT GLAZE IN SPOTS UPSTREAM IN
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA, SO WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LINE OF
PRECIP AS IT APPROACHES THE FORECAST AREA. WHERE THE PRECIP DOES
REMAIN SNOW, TOTALS OF AROUND A HALF AN INCH ARE LIKELY, WITH
UP TO AN INCH NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. THE TIMING OF THE LIGHT
SNOW ACCUMS AND POSSIBLE LIGHT GLAZE WILL CORRESPOND WITH
AFTERNOON COMMUTE TRAFFIC, AS THE BAND SHOULD SLIDE THROUGH
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 2 AND 6 PM.
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE
DEPARTING SHORTWAVE AND AHEAD OF APPROACHING HIGH PRESSURE. A
COLDER AIRMASS WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT, WITH
LOWS IN THE TEENS AGAIN MOST PLACES AND BELOW NORMAL HIGHS
TOMORROW IN THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30.
DDV
LONG TERM
ISSUED 1245 PM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY:
SOME SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED TO START THE DAY THURSDAY UNDER
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE MORNING INTO
THE AFTERNOON AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH. KEPT A SLIGHT
CHANCE (<30%) OF SNOW NORTH OF I-94 WITH THIS SHORTWAVE, WITH A
MIX OF MODEL SOLUTIONS ON WHETHER OR NOT THIS WAVE WILL PRODUCE
PRECIP IN THE FORECAST AREA.
A BRIEF WARMUP IS LIKELY FRIDAY AS SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
INCREASES AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING BY WELL TO THE
NORTH. SHOULD BE ENOUGH SUNSHINE TO COMBINE WITH THE MILD SOUTH
WINDS FOR WELL ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS IN THE MID 50S MOST PLACES.
THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING, RESULTING IN TEMPS RETURNING TO AROUND NORMAL FOR
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SLIDING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT WILL BRING A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLDER AIR ALONG WITH A
CHANCE FOR A DUSTING OF SNOW. HIGHS SUNDAY BEHIND THIS SHORTWAVE
WILL LIKELY ONLY TOP OUT IN THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30.
TEMPERATURES EARLY NEXT WEEK ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY RETURN TO
AROUND OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL, WITH THE ACTIVE SHORTWAVE PATTERN
BRINING MORE PRECIP CHANCES AT TIMES.
DDV
AVIATION
ISSUED 1245 PM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
A QUICK ROUND OF PRECIP IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
THIS AFTERNOON FROM AROUND 20Z TO 00Z. THE PRECIP SHOULD BE MAINLY
IN THE FORM OF SNOW NORTH TOWARDS THE FOND DU LAC AND SHEBOYGAN
AREAS. FARTHER SOUTH ON THE TAIL END OF THE LINE OF PRECIP
TOWARDS THE I-94 CORRIDOR, THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE OVER
TO FREEZING DRIZZLE FOR A TIME. THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF A
LIGHT GLAZE IN SPOTS UPSTREAM IN SOUTHERN MINNESOTA, SO WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LINE OF PRECIP AS IT APPROACHES THE
FORECAST AREA. WHERE THE PRECIP DOES REMAIN SNOW, TOTALS OF
AROUND A HALF AN INCH ARE LIKELY, WITH UP TO AN INCH NOT OUT OF
THE QUESTION WITH SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 0.5" AN HOUR. LOWER
CEILINGS (1-3 KFT) AND VISIBILITES (1-4 SM) ARE MOST LIKELY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN FORECAST AREA FROM MARQUETTE THROUGH
SHEBOYGAN COUNTIES.
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE
DEPARTING SHORTWAVE AND AHEAD OF APPROACHING HIGH PRESSURE.
CLEARING SKIES ARE LIKELY SOUTH OF I-94, WITH LINGERING CLOUDS
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY IN THE NORTH. MAY SEE SOME MVFR
CEILINGS LINGER IN THE NORTH THROUGH AT LEAST WED MORNING.
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME WEST TO
NORTHWEST THIS EVENING BEHIND THE COLD FRONT, REMAINING
BREEZING OUT OF THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.
DDV
MARINE
ISSUED 1245 PM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
SOUTHERLY GALES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS THIS
AFTERNOON AS LOW PRESSURE OF 29.2 INCHES JUST NORTH OF LAKE
SUPERIOR CONTINUES EASTWARD. WINDS WILL BECOME WEST TO
NORTHWEST BEHIND THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT, WHILE REMAINING BREEZY (THOUGH BELOW GALE FORCE).
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES INTO MID-MORNING WEDNESDAY.
LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, AS
HIGH PRESSURE OF 30.0 INCHES MOVES INTO THE AREA. SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL THEN PICK UP LATER THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW AND THE DEPARTING HIGH. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR THIS PERIOD, WITH A FEW GALES
NOT OF QUESTION ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE LAKE.
DDV
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
LM...GALE WARNING...LMZ080-LMZ261-LMZ362-LMZ364-LMZ366-LMZ563-
LMZ565-LMZ567-LMZ669-LMZ671-LMZ673-LMZ675-LMZ777-LMZ779-
LMZ868-LMZ870-LMZ872-LMZ874-LMZ876-LMZ878 UNTIL 6 PM
TUESDAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646 UNTIL 10 AM
WEDNESDAY.
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