831
FXUS63 KMKX 080114
AFDMKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
814 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA FROM 1 AM
TO 8 AM FRIDAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70.
- BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN (50-70%) AND A FEW STORMS LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
UPDATE
ISSUED 815 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
LOW CLOUDS CONTINUE TO ERODE AND TEMPERATURES REMAIN ON TRACK THIS
EVENING. THE FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
REGION 1 AM TO 8 AM FRIDAY MORNING.
STILL EXPECTING DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE 60S TO AROUND 70 FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. SATURDAY SHOULD FEATURE BREEZY W TO NW WINDS,
PREVENTING THE FORMATION OF A LAKE BREEZE AND ALLOWING THE
WARMTH TO SPREAD TO THE SHORELINE. FOR FRIDAY THE WEAKER
SW WINDS SHOULD ALLOW A SSE LAKE BREEZE TO FORM, LIKELY
PROGRESSING ~10 MILES INLAND THROUGH MID AFTERNOON, THEN MAKING
FURTHER PROGRESS AS THE SYNOPTIC WINDS WEAKEN LATER FRIDAY.
EXPECTING COOLER TEMPS (IN THE 50S) BEHIND THE LAKE BREEZE FRONT
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
SHEPPARD
SHORT TERM
ISSUED 205 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY:
ANOTHER COOL MAY AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 50S.
FOR TONIGHT, SKIES SHOULD CLEAR DURING THE EVENING, COMBINED
WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 30S AT MOST PLACES. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THERE
WERE A FEW UPPER 20S OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL WI. A
FROST ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM FRIDAY.
ECKBERG
LONG TERM
ISSUED 205 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY:
SOME MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
WITH TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH
READINGS IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70. THERE IS STILL A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS ON SATURDAY, ALTHOUGH THE MODELS DIVERGE ON WHAT PART OF
THE STATE WOULD SEE THE HIGHEST CHANCES OF RAIN. BEHIND THE
SYSTEM ON SATURDAY, GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
WHICH WILL USHER IN COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME OF THE AREA WOULD SEE FROST AGAIN
SUNDAY NIGHT, PROMPTING ANOTHER NIGHT OF FROST ADVISORIES. THE
NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE (50-70%) OF RAIN ARRIVES LATE MONDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUES INTO TUESDAY EVENING. IT APPEARS BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL
ECKBERG
WFO MKX
AVIATION
ISSUED 815 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
DRY WEATHER AND VFR THROUGH TONIGHT WITH NEARLY CALM WINDS.
SKIES REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR, THOUGH HIGH ALTITUDE CLOUDS (OVER
20,000 FT) WILL INCREASE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING,
ERODING INTO THE AFTERNOON.
DIURNAL CUMULUS CLOUDS (LIKELY OVER 6,000 FT) MAY TRY TO
REDEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON, SOME VIRGA IS POSSIBLE BUT RAIN
CHANCES ARE GENERALLY 15% OR LESS FOR NOW (EXCLUDED FROM ALL
TAFS).
SW TO W WINDS BUILDING TO AROUND 10 KT EXPECTED FRIDAY, WITH A
SSE LAKE BREEZE LIKELY FORMING IN THE AFTERNOON AND PUSHING ~10
MILES INLAND BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON, MAKING FURTHER PROGRESS AS
THE SYNOPTIC WINDFLOW SUBSIDES LATE FRIDAY. A LIGHT SOUTHWEST
BREEZE IS THEN EXPECTED AREA WIDE INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
SHEPPARD
MARINE
ISSUED 205 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OF 29.9 INCHES WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA
TONIGHT WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED. SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY FROM 10 TO 20 KNOTS AT TIMES. A WEAK
COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY THAT MAY BRING INCREASING WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS.
A 30.20 MB HIGH ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL BUILD INTO THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
ECKBERG
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED 205 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
LOW HUMIDITY READINGS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON, ALTHOUGH
WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT. WILL NEED TO WATCH SATURDAY FOR LOW
HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WFO MKX
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...FROST ADVISORY...WIZ046-WIZ047-WIZ051-WIZ052-WIZ056-WIZ057-
WIZ058-WIZ059-WIZ060-WIZ062-WIZ063-WIZ064-WIZ065-WIZ066-
WIZ067-WIZ068-WIZ069-WIZ070-WIZ071-WIZ072...1 AM FRIDAY
TO 8 AM FRIDAY.
LM...NONE.
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