301  
FXUS63 KMKX 300447  
AFDMKX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI  
1147 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- DRY WEATHER UNDER HIGH PRESSURE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND  
AND INTO NEXT WEEK. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAY INCREASE INTO  
EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
- THERE IS A HIGH SWIM RISK SATURDAY FOR OZAUKEE, MILWAUKEE,  
RACINE AND KENOSHA COUNTY LAKESHORE AREAS DUE TO PERSISTENT  
AND ELEVATED ONSHORE WINDS.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
 
ISSUED 1140 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
 
CURRENT OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT:  
 
THE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNCHANGED THIS WEEKEND  
AS HIGH PRESSURE SINKS SOUTHWARD FROM HUDSON BAY INTO THE GREAT  
LAKES BY SUNDAY MORNING. GUSTY EAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS  
A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS OVER THE REGION. THESE  
PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS SHOULD ALSO PUSH COOL LAKE AIR INLAND,  
WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 ALONG LAKE MICHIGAN, AND  
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WELL INLAND. EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY  
SKIES FROM HIGH CLOUDS ALOFT.  
 
THE GUSTY EASTERLIES ARE EXPECTED TO DRIVE HIGH ONSHORE WAVES,  
LEADING TO HIGH SWIM RISK CONDITIONS THIS MORNING INTO THIS  
EVENING. DANGEROUS WAVES AND CURRENTS WILL BE LIKELY AND  
SWIMMING IS NOT ADVISED WHILE THE BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS  
ACTIVE.  
 
SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY, WITH LIGHTER  
WINDS AS THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER MOVES CLOSER.  
 
CMILLER  
 
 
   
LONG TERM  
 
ISSUED 1140 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
 
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETREAT EAST SOMEWHAT ON MONDAY ALLOWING FOR  
SOME VERY LOW END SHOWER CHANCES (~20%) SOUTHWEST OF MADISON  
MONDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS  
EXPECTED TO DIVE SOUTH FROM HUDSON BAY MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO  
TUESDAY, FURTHER REINFORCING OUR STUCK WEATHER PATTERN. THE HIGH  
IS FINALLY EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST WEDNESDAY, WITH  
SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURNING. HIGHS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL  
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S TO LOW/MID 80S.  
 
CHANCES FOR RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS LOOK POSSIBLE LATE WEEK AS A MORE  
HUMID AIR MASS RETURNS TO THE STATE AND A TROUGH SLOWLY MOVES  
EAST ACROSS THE STATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.  
 
CMILLER  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
ISSUED 1142 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
 
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH HIGH VFR CLOUDS ALOFT CAUSING FEW  
TO BKN CONDITIONS. EXPECT PERSISTENT EAST WINDS TONIGHT INTO  
TOMORROW. THE EAST WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY AFTER DAWN TOMORROW  
WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS.  
 
CMILLER  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED 1145 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
 
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL STRENGTHEN  
SATURDAY NIGHT AND DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN INTO EARLY NEXT  
WEEK. BREEZY NORTHEAST TO EASTERLY PREVAILING WINDS WILL  
DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY,  
AND AGAIN MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. LOCALLY, THE BREEZY EAST  
WINDS WILL LEAD TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THIS MORNING  
INTO THIS EVENING.  
 
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHERLY ON WEDNESDAY AS THE HIGH  
BEGINS TO EXIT AND LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  
 
CMILLER  
 
 
   
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
WI...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT...WIZ060-WIZ066-WIZ071-WIZ072...7 AM  
SATURDAY TO 9 PM SATURDAY.  
 
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646...7 AM SATURDAY TO  
9 PM SATURDAY.  
 
 
 
 
 
VISIT US AT WEATHER.GOV/MILWAUKEE  
 
FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK, X, AND YOUTUBE AT:  
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSMILWAUKEE  
WWW.X.COM/NWSMILWAUKEE  
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSMILWAUKEE  
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