014
FXUS63 KMKX 090515
AFDMKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1215 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.
- SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL MAY
OCCUR ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
- HOT AND MUGGY CONDITIONS RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
ISSUED 1214 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2026
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
THURSDAY AS INSTABILITY AND PLENTY OF MOISTURE LINGER WHILE A
SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH. MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF ON OVERALL
PRECIP COVERAGE FOR TONIGHT, SO BUMPED PRECIP CHANCES DOWN TO
THE 20-40 PERCENT RANGE. CLOUDS AND DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO AROUND 70 WILL KEEP TEMPS FROM FALLING MUCH MORE THE
REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.
COULD SEE SOME REDEVELOPMENT OF STORMS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS
A SURFACE TROUGH DROPS THROUGH SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. STILL WOULDN'T
BE SURPRISED BY A STRONGER STORM OR TWO PRODUCING SOME SMALL HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY SLOW MOVING STRONGER
STORMS. WENT WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S
TOMORROW GIVEN THE SURFACE TROUGH DROPPING THROUGH, PLENTY OF
CLOUDS, AND SHOWER/STORM CHANCES. IT WILL BE A HUMID DAY AGAIN,
WITH DEWPOINTS LINGERING AROUND 70.
DDV
LONG TERM
ISSUED 1214 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2026
FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS LIKELY FROM FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE LARGELY SITS
OVER THE REGION. NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION TO SEE A FEW STORMS
SNEAK OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN AS THE
RIDGE MOVES IN LATE THIS WEEK AND BEGINS TO FLATTEN BY MID-WEEK
NEXT WEEK. OVERALL THOUGH, DRY WEATHER SHOULD PREVAIL MUCH OF
THE TIME ALONG WITH INCREASING TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGHS AROUND 90 ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. DEWPOINTS WILL IN THE MID 60S TO AROUND 70 WILL BE A
LITTLE LOWER THAN THE LAST STRETCH OF 90+ DEGREE TEMPS, WHICH
SHOULD KEEP HEAT AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES FROM REACHING THE 100
DEGREE MARK. CURRENTLY EXPECTING THE HEAT INDEX TO TOP OUT IN
THE 90-95 DEGREE RANGE MON-WED.
DDV
AVIATION
ISSUED 1214 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2026
A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO
TONIGHT AS DEEP MOISTURE LINGERS AND A SHORTWAVE SLOWLY MOVES
THROUGH. MODELS ARE STILL TRENDING TOWARD ISOLATED COVERAGE
OVERNIGHT, SO LOWERED THE PRECIP CHANCES A BIT.
AN ADDITIONAL ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TOMORROW, PARTICULARY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE SURFACE
TROUGH DROPS THROUGH SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL
HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONGER STORMS.
A ROUND OF MVFR CEILINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING, PARTICULARLY NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM MONROE
TO PORT WASHINGTON, WITH MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING FOR THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL LARGELY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
TONIGHT, BECOMING WESTERLY THURSDAY MORNING AND SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE
TROUGH DROPS SOUTHWARD.
DDV
MARINE
ISSUED 1214 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2026
HIGH PRESSURE AROUND 30.0 INCHES WILL REMAIN OVER THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT. LIGHT SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT, AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE AROUND 29.8 INCHES AND AN
ACCOMPANYING COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM UPPER MICHIGAN AND
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH BEHIND THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL BECOME
NORTH TO NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY, AS HIGH PRESSURE AROUND 30.0
INCHES BUILDS INTO THE THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE HIGH
SHOULD CONTINUE TO BRING LIGHT TO MODEST WINDS FOR THE WEEKEND.
DDV
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
VISIT US AT WEATHER.GOV/MILWAUKEE
FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK, X, AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSMILWAUKEE
WWW.X.COM/NWSMILWAUKEE
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSMILWAUKEE
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page