030  
FXUS63 KMKX 050022  
AFDMKX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI  
722 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- PATCHY FROST TONIGHT IN VALLEYS AND LOW LYING LOCATIONS.  
 
- NO HAZARDS EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH NEAR AVERAGE EARLY AUTUMN  
TEMPERATURES.  
 
 
   
UPDATE  
 
ISSUED 720 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026  
 
NO MAJOR UPDATES AS THINGS REMAIN QUIET WITH SOME PATCHY FROST  
POSSIBLE GIVEN COOLER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES EXPECTED IN THE LOW  
40S TO UPPER 30S.  
 
KUROSKI  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
 
ISSUED 1230 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026  
 
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT:  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER REGIME. CLEAR SKIES AND  
LIGHT WINDS BOTH TONIGHT WILL SET THE STAGE FOR LOCALIZED  
COOLER SPOTS IN VALLEYS, LOW LYING AREAS AND OTHER SHELTERED  
LOCATIONS. THIS WILL LEAVE THE DOOR OPEN TO TEMPERATURES DIPPING  
INTO THE MID/UPPER 30S AND PATCHY FROST. FOR MONDAY NIGHT, THE  
HIGH HOLDS ON LONG ENOUGH FOR AN INITIAL QUICK TEMPERATURE DROP  
IN THE EVENING, BUT SOUTHERLY WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE HIGH  
DEVELOP DURING THE MID/LATE EVENING AND WILL HELP KEEP  
TEMPERATURES IN CHECK AND MITIGATE FROST DEVELOPMENT.  
 
GAGAN  
 
 
   
LONG TERM  
 
ISSUED 1230 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026  
 
TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY:  
 
THE SUITE OF ENSEMBLES CONTINUES TO INDICATE A QUIET WEATHER  
PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION. OVERALL, NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE THE  
RULE THIS WEEK, WITH COOL MORNINGS AND SEASONABLY WARM  
AFTERNOONS. RIDGING BUILDS ALOFT FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND, AND  
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND ABOVE AVERAGE. AT THIS POINT, IT LOOKS  
LIKE THE NEXT APPRECIABLE CHANCE FOR RAINFALL WILL BE JUST  
BEYOND THE FORECAST PERIOD.  
 
GAGAN  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
ISSUED 720 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026  
 
QUIET CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS TONIGHT BECOMING  
MORE VARIABLE INTO MONDAY BUT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR THROUGH  
THE TAF PERIOD.  
 
KUROSKI  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED 1230 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026  
 
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVING EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA TODAY WILL  
DEEPEN TO 29.4 INCHES AND APPROACH JAMES BAY BY LATE THIS  
AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT HAS EXITED TO THE EAST OF LAKE MICHIGAN  
AND NORTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY TODAY. NORTHWEST WINDS  
WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OF  
30.2 INCHES ENTERS FROM THE WEST. A FEW WATERSPOUTS REMAIN  
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN EDGE OF THE LAKE THIS EVENING  
INTO TONIGHT.  
 
LOW PRESSURE OF 29.4 INCHES WILL BUILD TOWARD THE HUDSON BAY  
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. AHEAD OF THIS LOW, SOUTH SOUTHWEST  
WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND  
BECOME GUSTY. THERE REMAINS A RISK FOR GUSTS TO APPROACH GALES,  
PARTICULARLY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE OPEN WATERS, AND WILL  
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE HEADLINES. THE LOW WILL  
PULL A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE WATERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO  
THURSDAY, DELIVERING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SHIFTING WINDS TO  
THE WEST NORTHWEST.  
 
GAGAN  
 
 
   
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
WI...NONE.  
LM...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
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