538  
FZUS63 KMKX 161351  
GLFLM  
 
OPEN LAKE FORECAST FOR LAKE MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI  
851 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
FOR WATERS BEYOND FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE MICHIGAN.  
 
WAVES ARE PROVIDED AS A RANGE OF SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH  
IS THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVE, ALONG WITH THE  
AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 10% OF THE WAVES WHICH WILL  
OCCASIONALLY BE ENCOUNTERED.  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN TO AROUND 29.4 INCHES AS IT SHIFTS INTO  
THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES TODAY. EXPECT NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS TO  
STRENGTHEN TO HIGH-END GALES BY LATE THIS MORNING, AS A STRONG  
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM AROUND 30.7 INCHES BUILDS INTO THE PLAINS. A  
GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE  
MICHIGAN LATER THIS MORNING INTO TONIGHT.  
 
LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY  
ALONG THE BACK SIDE OF DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE. A FEW WATERSPOUTS  
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, PARTICULARLY OVER  
THE SOUTH HALF OF LAKE MICHIGAN.  
 
AS THE HIGH SINKS TOWARD THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY ON SATURDAY,  
STRONG LOW PRESSURE AROUND 29.0 INCHES WILL DEVELOP IN NORTHERN  
MANITOBA INTO SUNDAY. THIS MAY BRING SOUTHWEST GALES TO FAR  
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY  
NIGHT.  
 
LMZ261-362-364-366-563-565-567-868-162115-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE 5 NM  
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO THE  
MACKINAC BRIDGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM CHARLEVOIX MI TO SOUTH  
FOX ISLAND 5 NM OFFSHORE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM CHARLEVOIX TO POINT BETSIE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO  
MID LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM POINT BETSIE TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO  
MID LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO  
MID LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO  
MID LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID  
LAKE-  
851 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
SHEBOYGAN WI TO PENTWATER MI NORTH...  
   
..GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT
 
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
NORTH WINDS TO 30 KT INCREASING TO GALES TO  
45 KT. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH MID MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS THIS  
AFTERNOON. WAVES 5 TO 8 FT OCCASIONALLY TO 10 FT BUILDING TO  
14 TO 18 FT OCCASIONALLY TO 23 FT.    
TONIGHT
 
NORTH GALES TO 40 KT BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT.  
WAVES 14 TO 18 FT OCCASIONALLY TO 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 9 FT  
OCCASIONALLY TO 12 FT.    
SATURDAY
 
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING WEST 15 TO 25 KT  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO 30 KT IN THE  
AFTERNOON. WAVES 4 TO 6 FT OCCASIONALLY TO 8 FT BUILDING TO 5 TO  
8 FT OCCASIONALLY TO 10 FT.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SOUTHWEST GALES TO 35 KT. WAVES 6 TO 9 FT  
OCCASIONALLY TO 12 FT BUILDING TO 8 TO 11 FT OCCASIONALLY TO  
14 FT.    
SUNDAY
 
SOUTHWEST GALES TO 40 KT. WAVES 10 TO 14 FT  
OCCASIONALLY TO 18 FT.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
SOUTHWEST GALES TO 40 KT. WAVES 8 TO 12 FT  
OCCASIONALLY TO 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 TO 10 FT OCCASIONALLY TO  
13 FT.    
MONDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KT.  
WAVES 4 TO 7 FT OCCASIONALLY TO 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT.    
TUESDAY
 
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. WAVES 1 TO 2 FT.  
 

 
 
LMZ080-669-671-673-675-777-779-870-872-874-876-878-162115-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST. JOSEPH MI 5 NM  
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI 5 NM OFFSHORE  
TO MID LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI 5 NM  
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI 5 NM  
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL 5 NM  
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL 5 NM  
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WILMETTE HARBOR IL TO MICHIGAN CITY IN 5 NM  
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID  
LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO  
MID LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID  
LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID  
LAKE-  
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ST. JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO  
MID LAKE-  
851 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
SHEBOYGAN WI TO PENTWATER MI SOUTH...  
   
..GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT
 
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
NORTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KT BECOMING NORTH GALES TO  
45 KT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS. SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MID MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. WAVES  
8 TO 11 FT OCCASIONALLY TO 14 FT BUILDING TO 15 TO 20 FT  
OCCASIONALLY TO 26 FT.    
TONIGHT
 
NORTH GALES TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS. WAVES 15 TO 20 FT OCCASIONALLY TO 26 FT SUBSIDING TO  
10 TO 14 FT OCCASIONALLY TO 18 FT.    
SATURDAY
 
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KT BACKING TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO  
25 KT. WAVES 7 TO 10 FT OCCASIONALLY TO 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 TO  
5 FT.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KT. WAVES 6 TO 9 FT  
OCCASIONALLY TO 12 FT.    
SUNDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KT. WAVES 8 TO 12 FT OCCASIONALLY  
TO 16 FT.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
SOUTH WINDS TO 30 KT BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO  
25 KT. WAVES 8 TO 11 FT OCCASIONALLY TO 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 TO  
8 FT OCCASIONALLY TO 10 FT.    
MONDAY
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT. WAVES 3 TO 5 FT SUBSIDING  
TO 2 TO 4 FT.    
TUESDAY
 
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. WAVES 1 FT OR LESS.  
 

 
 
LMZ761-162115-  
MAFOR 1616/  
MICHIGAN NORTH...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...11850 12860 11850 11840  
11830 11710 11620. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. WAVES 6 TO  
9 FEET BUILDING TO 12 TO 16 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. WAVES 12 TO 16  
FEET SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT. WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET  
SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FEET SATURDAY MORNING.  
 
MICHIGAN SOUTH...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...11756 12860 12850 11840  
11820 11810. WAVES 7 TO 10 FEET BUILDING TO 15 TO 19 FEET THIS  
AFTERNOON. WAVES 15 TO 20 FEET SUBSIDING TO 10 TO 13 FEET  
TONIGHT. WAVES 6 TO 9 FEET SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET SATURDAY  
MORNING.  
 

 
WOOD  
 
EXPERIMENTAL MODERNIZED OPEN LAKE FORECAST IS AVAILABLE ONLINE AT  
WEATHER.GOV/MKX/GLFTABLE  
 
GRAPHICAL MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:  
WEATHER.GOV/GREATLAKES  
 
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