009
FNUS72 KMLB 211006
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR LGSF RX BURNS...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
506 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON NOVEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FIRE SENSITIVE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AS BREEZY
NORTHWEST WINDS GUST AROUND 20 MPH AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY THIS
MORNING. WIND DIRECTION BACKS TO A MORE WEST-NORTHWEST POSITION
AFTER NOON. THE ARRIVAL OF SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER AIR WILL LOWER RH
VALUES TO AROUND 30 PERCENT FROM MIDDAY INTO THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE
DISPERSION WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD THIS MORNING, BECOMING VERY GOOD
FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13
TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....52 INCREASING TO 62 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN
DECREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............61 63 66 66 67 67 65 62
RH..............39 35 32 30 28 28 29 35
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW NW NW NW NW W
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 9 9 9 8 9 7
20 FT WIND GUST.21 18 17 16 17 17 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.7 2.9 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.5 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NW NW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 14 15 15 15 17 13
DISPERSION IDX..48 49 48 56 59 64 61 18
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........3 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............59 56 54 53 52 51 51 50 49 48 46 45
RH..............39 43 47 48 50 50 46 48 50 51 56 58
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 15 15 14 14 16 15 15 15 15 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 10 12 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12
DISPERSION IDX..9 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15
TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 22 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 39 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 56 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 70
INCREASING TO 79 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 56.
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1 1 0 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............45 44 48 53 57 60 61 63 63 63 63 60
RH..............55 58 51 43 38 35 33 32 34 34 35 41
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 9 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 18 20 21 21 22 22 21 20 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.4 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.1 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW W W W W W W W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 14 16 18 21 22 22 21 20 17 15
DISPERSION IDX..5 7 22 39 56 67 73 78 78 75 83 56
LVORI...........3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...SCHAPER
REQUESTED BY...CAMARON GREENLUND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427084.0/MLB
.DELDT 11/21/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CAMARON.GREENLUND@FDACS.GOV
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