158  
FNUS73 KMPX 030655  
FWSMPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RICE LAKE FLATS PILE BURN...NPS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN  
1255 AM CST TUE DEC 3 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0100 CST ON DECEMBER 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH  
THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
CALM WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE  
MORNING, BECOMING MORE S/SW BY SUNRISE. RH VALUES WILL STAY AT OR  
ABOVE 80 PERCENT THROUGH LATE MORNING. NO PRECIPITATION IS  
EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF A FEW FLURRIES POTENTIALLY.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
FLURRIES OVERNIGHT.  
TEMPERATURE.........17 AT IGNITION...MIN 12.  
RH..................84 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 88 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 1 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /6000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MIN...POOR  
/6000 KNOT-FT/.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1000 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.  
 
TIME (CST) 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....SW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............17 17 17 16 16 16 15 15 16 19 21 23  
RH..............84 84 80 84 84 84 84 88 84 77 71 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 7 8 9 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 7 8 8 10 13 14 16 18 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW SW SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 8 9 9 10 12 14 16 17 18  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 26.  
RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (40100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 21  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...DETTMANN  
REQUESTED BY...ERIC ANDERSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2427642.0/MPX  
.DELDT 12/03/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ERIC_ANDERSON@NPS.GOV  
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