643
FXUS63 KMPX 100730
AFDMPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
130 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- LIGHT SNOW ENDS OVERNIGHT ACROSS WESTERN WISCONSIN.
- BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS & SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE
DAY SATURDAY.
- WELL-ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES MONDAY & TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 109 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
A NARROW BAND OF LIGHT SNOW CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARDS ACROSS
MINNESOTA & INTO WISCONSIN OVERNIGHT, WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF
AROUND HALF AN INCH OR LESS CAUSING JUST ENOUGH ACCUMULATION TO
CREATED SOME SLICK SPOTS ON UNTREATED SURFACES. SATELLITE SHOWS
SKIES QUICKLY CLEARING BEHIND THIS BAND OF SNOW AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE FALLING
THROUGH THE MORNING AS COLD ADVECTION CONTINUES BEHIND THE
FRONT, BUT CLOUDS & SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL RETURN BY LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON AS STRONG CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT MOVE OVER
THE UPPER MIDWEST. NOT EXPECTING MUCH ACCUMULATION FROM THE SNOW
TODAY, JUST PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW LEADING TO ANOTHER DUSTING TO
HALF AN INCH. ONE THING TO KEEP AN EYE ON WILL BE THE WIND
GUSTS TODAY, AS NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE TENDENCY TO OVERACHIEVE
GUIDANCE IN COLD AIR ADVECTION REGIMES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW
THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON &
EVENING, ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN MINNESOTA. THE WIND GUSTS
ALONG WITH THE LIGHT SNOW COULD RESULT IN PERIODS OF REDUCED
VISIBILITY, ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS OF WESTERN MINNESOTA.
WE'VE ALREADY REACHED OUT HIGHS FOR THE DAY AS THE COLD
ADVECTION WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FALLING THROUGH THE MORNING
WITH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON GENERALLY AROUND 20 DEGREES.
TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO REBOUND SUNDAY WITH GENERALLY CLEARING
SKIES, & SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS, BUT THE REAL WARM-UP COMES MONDAY
& TUESDAY WHEN RIDGING PEAKS OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S LOOK LIKELY, & COULD EASILY REACH THE
50S ACROSS SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA WHERE DOWNSLOPING WINDS OFF OF
THE BUFFALO RIDGE TYPICAL BOOST TEMPERATURES BY SEVERAL DEGREES.
LOOKING AHEAD, MODELS GENERALLY SUPPORT A PATTERN OF NUMEROUS
CLIPPERS & WEAK DISTURBANCES FOLLOWING THE STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW
OVER THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE CONUS THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK. NONE OF THESE LOOK TO BE MAJORLY IMPACTFUL SYSTEMS AS A
MOISTURE-BLOCKING REGION OF HIGH PRESSURE SITS OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN US THROUGH THE WEEK. HOWEVER CHANCES FOR LIGHT
SNOW OR A WINTRY MIX OF ICE, SNOW, & RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY HOVERING AROUND FREEZING DURING THE TIMES
OF PRECIPITATION. EVENTUALLY BY THE END OF THE WEEK, WITH
AMPLIFIED FLOW OVER THE REGION TRANSITIONS TO DEEP TROUGHING,
LEADING TO A RETURN TO WELL-BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE
FIRST TIME SINCE THE BEGINNING OF THE MONTH.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1050 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
A BAND OF LIGHT SNOW EXTENDS FROM ROUGHLY STC TO MKT AND IS
ADVANCING EASTWARD THIS EVENING. SNOW HAS ENDED AT AXN AND RWF
AND WILL BE WRAPPING UP SHORTLY AT STC. MKT AND MSP ARE NEXT IN
LINE FOR A BRIEF ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW, MVFR VISIBILITY, AND A
DUSTING TO A FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION. THE
BAND WILL CONTINUE INTO WESTERN WI AFTER MIDNIGHT AND IMPACT
RNH/EAU. A RETURN TO VFR CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT ONCE THE SNOW ENDS. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS
INTENSIFY TOMORROW (GUSTS 25-30 KTS) AND WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN.
MVFR VISIBILITY AND QUICK, BUT MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
THE STORY WITHIN THESE SHOWERS.
KMSP...FORECAST IS ON TRACK LATE THIS EVENING. A BAND OF LIGHT
TO MODERATE SNOW IS PROGRESSING EAST AND WILL IMPACT THE
TERMINAL EARLY ON IN THE 6Z PERIOD. OBSERVATIONS TO THE WEST
SUPPORT A PERIOD OF MVFR VISIBILITY AND MINOR ACCUMULATIONS ON
THE ORDER OF A DUSTING OR SO AS THE BAND TRANSLATES EAST. MVFR
CEILINGS PREVAIL TOMORROW, ALONG WITH BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS AND
INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF MVFR SNOW SHOWERS.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
SUN...VFR. WIND NW 5-10KTS BCMG SW 5-10KTS.
MON...VFR. WIND SW 5-10KTS.
TUE...MVFR. WIND SW 10-15G20KTS.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
UPDATE...STRUS
DISCUSSION...ETA
AVIATION...STRUS
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