634  
FNUS73 KMPX 211105  
FWSMPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH SPUR RX...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN  
505 AM CST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0712 CST ON JANUARY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH  
THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THE DAY STARTS OUT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A FEW FLURRIES,  
FOLLOWED BY WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS BEGINNING LATE IN THE MORNING  
AND LASTING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 INCH  
IS POSSIBLE, WITH WINDS INCREASING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST INITIALLY  
SHIFTING NORTHWEST SUSTAINED AROUND 20MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30MPH BY  
THE AFTERNOON. RH WILL REMAIN HIGH DUE TO THE PRECIPITATION,  
HOWEVER TEMPERATURES ARE COLD ENOUGH SUCH THAT CONDITIONS ARE  
STILL FAIRLY DRY EVEN WITH THE SNOW.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SNOW IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SNOW LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........11 AT IGNITION...MAX 22.  
RH..................87 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 17 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 33  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /4200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.  
MAX...EXCELLENT /94900 KNOT-FT/.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST  
23 TO 31 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC  
WEATHER COV..... SCH LKY DEF LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............11 10 12 14 17 19 20 22 21 20 18 14  
RH..............83 87 84 84 80 80 77 71 71 64 67 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW SW W W NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 17 18 18 18  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 17 20 21 23 25 30 32 32 33 35  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.8 3.5 2.9 1.2 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW W SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 15 14 16 17 23 31 35 30 26  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 0.  
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35  
MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 23 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (26600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (8400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12  
TO 17 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 6.  
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (20100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (118000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (119400  
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 35  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
 

 
FORECASTER...HASENSTEIN  
REQUESTED BY...MCCAFFERTY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600484.2/MPX  
.DELDT 01/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL K.MCCAFFERTY@NRP.ECO  
 
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