696
FXUS63 KMPX 012019
AFDMPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
219 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- LIGHT SNOW ENDING ACROSS MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON, AND ACROSS
WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS EVENING.
- MORE WEAK CLIPPERS WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW CHANCES THROUGH THE
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 219 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY NEAR I-35 IS BRINGING A QUICK END TO THE
ACCUMULATING SNOW, WHICH ENDED UP NEAR OR JUST UNDER 2 INCHES
FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WESTERN
WISCONSIN FOR A FEW MORE HOURS BEFORE COMING TO AN END BY MID
TO LATE EVENING. TEMPERATURES NEAR AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT
HAVE WARMED WELL INTO THE 20S AND EVEN NEAR 30S IN SOME AREAS,
BUT WILL SLIDE BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT. BELOW-
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES MAKE THEIR RETURN FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE TEENS.
THIS EVER-PERSISTENT NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK, ALBEIT WITHOUT THE DEEP
SURGES OF COLD AIR THAT PLAGUED MUCH OF THE REGION IN JANUARY.
IN FACT THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK WILL SEE NEAR- TO ABOVE-
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WITH A QUICK JUMP TO ABOUT 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE ON THURSDAY WHEN SOME AREAS COULD PUSH 40
DEGREES. AS EXPECTED IN SUCH A FLOW PATTERN, THERE WILL BE A FEW
MORE CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW WITH LIGHT CLIPPER SYSTEMS THAT
PASS THROUGH THE REGION. THE FIRST WILL IMPACT MAINLY SOUTHWEST
MINNESOTA MONDAY EVENING WITH VERY LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS, IF
ANY. A SIMILARLY WEAK SYSTEM WILL TRACK A BIT FURTHER NORTH INTO
CENTRAL MN ON WEDNESDAY, AGAIN WITH VERY LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATION IF ANYTHING AT ALL. A SLIGHTLY STRONGER SYSTEM WILL
TRACK EVEN FURTHER NORTH AND EAST LATE THURSDAY WITH SOME MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. RIGHT NOW THE HIGHEST SNOW CHANCES
APPEAR TO BE ACROSS NORTHERN MINNESOTA INTO WISCONSIN, BUT THERE
IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF VARIABILITY IN THE MODELS WITH THAT
SYSTEM.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1051 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
A STEADIER BURST OF SNOW HAS MATERIALIZED ACROSS CENTRAL MN THIS
MORNING AND IS PUSHING EAST INTO WISCONSIN TO START THE PERIOD.
VISIBILITIES HAVE GENERALLY BEEN AROUND 1SM WITH THIS BURST,
THOUGH SOME SITES HAVE DROPPED AS LOW AS 1/2SM. SNOW WILL TAPER
OFF PRETTY QUICKLY THIS AFTERNOON, WITH LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS
BECOMING LESS LIKELY. CEILINGS WILL REMAIN MVFR TONIGHT,
GRADUALLY SCATTERING OUT TOMORROW MORNING, BECOMING VFR BY
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. WINDS START OUT OF THE WEST FOR THE PERIOD,
BUT WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE BURST OF SNOW
WHICH IS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT.
KMSP...VISIBILITIES COULD BRIEFLY DROP BELOW 1SM AS THIS BURST
OF SNOW MOVES THROUGH, THOUGH WE EXPECT TO STAY MOSTLY AT 1SM OR
BETTER. LINGERING LIGHT SNOW WILL END BY AROUND 20-22Z.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...VFR. WIND NE 5KTS.
WED...VFR. WIND W 5-10 KTS.
THU...VFR, CHC MVFR. WIND S 5-10 KTS BCMG SW 10-15G20KTS.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DPH
AVIATION...BED
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