145
FXUS63 KMPX 012253
AFDMPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
453 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- LIGHT SNOW ENDING ACROSS MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON, AND ACROSS
WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS EVENING.
- MORE WEAK CLIPPERS WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW CHANCES THROUGH THE
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 219 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY NEAR I-35 IS BRINGING A QUICK END TO THE
ACCUMULATING SNOW, WHICH ENDED UP NEAR OR JUST UNDER 2 INCHES
FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WESTERN
WISCONSIN FOR A FEW MORE HOURS BEFORE COMING TO AN END BY MID
TO LATE EVENING. TEMPERATURES NEAR AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT
HAVE WARMED WELL INTO THE 20S AND EVEN NEAR 30S IN SOME AREAS,
BUT WILL SLIDE BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT. BELOW-
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES MAKE THEIR RETURN FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE TEENS.
THIS EVER-PERSISTENT NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK, ALBEIT WITHOUT THE DEEP
SURGES OF COLD AIR THAT PLAGUED MUCH OF THE REGION IN JANUARY.
IN FACT THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK WILL SEE NEAR- TO ABOVE-
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WITH A QUICK JUMP TO ABOUT 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE ON THURSDAY WHEN SOME AREAS COULD PUSH 40
DEGREES. AS EXPECTED IN SUCH A FLOW PATTERN, THERE WILL BE A FEW
MORE CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW WITH LIGHT CLIPPER SYSTEMS THAT
PASS THROUGH THE REGION. THE FIRST WILL IMPACT MAINLY SOUTHWEST
MINNESOTA MONDAY EVENING WITH VERY LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS, IF
ANY. A SIMILARLY WEAK SYSTEM WILL TRACK A BIT FURTHER NORTH INTO
CENTRAL MN ON WEDNESDAY, AGAIN WITH VERY LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATION IF ANYTHING AT ALL. A SLIGHTLY STRONGER SYSTEM WILL
TRACK EVEN FURTHER NORTH AND EAST LATE THURSDAY WITH SOME MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. RIGHT NOW THE HIGHEST SNOW CHANCES
APPEAR TO BE ACROSS NORTHERN MINNESOTA INTO WISCONSIN, BUT THERE
IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF VARIABILITY IN THE MODELS WITH THAT
SYSTEM.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 444 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN IMPROVING ACROSS THE REGION AS THE LAST OF
THE SNOW EXITS EAST THROUGH WISCONSIN THIS EVENING. OCCASIONAL
FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE BEHIND THE MAIN BAND OF SNOW. MVFR CIGS
LIKELY HANG AROUND THROUGH MIDNIGHT AT ALL LOCATIONS, BUT WE
EXPECT STRATUS TO BEGIN TO SCATTER OUT DURING THE EARLY MORNING.
AFTER CLOUDS SCATTER OUT, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE END OF THE PERIOD. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS START OFF BREEZY FOR
RWF AND MKT, GUSTING TO AROUND 25 KTS.
KMSP...NORTHWESTERLY WINDS MAY GUST AS HIGH AS 20 KTS TO START
THE PERIOD, THOUGH THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE INFREQUENT. CIGS
LIKELY IMPROVE TO VFR SOME TIME DURING THE EARLY MORNING, AROUND
10-12Z. THERE IS LOW-MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR WHEN THE STRATUS
SCATTERS OUT, WITH POTENTIAL FOR THEM TO SO STICK AROUND LONGER
IF THEY STAY BROKEN THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...VFR. WIND NE 5KTS.
WED...VFR. WIND W 5-10 KTS.
THU...VFR, CHC MVFR. WIND S 5-10 KTS BCMG SW 10-15G20KTS.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DPH
AVIATION...BED
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