376
FXUS63 KMPX 082341
AFDMPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
641 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONABLE HIGH TEMPERATURES (40S & 50S) THROUGH THE END OF THE
WORK WEEK.
- SMALL SCATTERED RAIN CHANCES THIS EVENING, FAVORING WEST-CENTRAL
WI.
- A WARM, HUMID, AND STORMY PATTERN REMAINS LIKELY THIS WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
LOOKS TO BE A TAD ON THE BREEZY SIDE THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENT
OBSERVATIONS ADVERTISE 20-30 MPH GUSTS WITH A COUPLE OF 40 MPH
WIN GUST REPORTS IN SOUTHERN MN. ONGOING BREEZY CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A COLD
FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH THROUGH FROM WEST TO EAST. FOR THOSE
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT MAINLY IN WESTERN WI, TEMPERATURES
REMAIN IN THE MID 60S, WHEREAS ACROSS WESTERN MN IN THE MID TO
UPPER 40S. WE ARE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE CHANCES FOR PRECIP IN
THE VERY NEAR-TERM. THIS FRONT HAS FEATURED SOME RADAR
REFLECTIVITY AS IT PUSHES THROUGH BUT IT DOES LOOK LIKE SURFACE
DRY IS AIR IS LIMITING DROPLETS FROM REACHING THE GROUND IN
CURRENT TIME. RAP/HRRR FORECAST SOUNDINGS DO INDICATE SOME
MOISTURE ADVECTION EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
MN AND WESTERN WI, THEREFORE HAVE HUNG ONTO THE RAIN SHOWER
POTENTIAL IN THOSE AREAS UNTIL THIS EVENING. FOR ANY RAINFALL
THAT DOES OCCUR WILL BE SHORT LIVED. LOWS TONIGHT WILL FALL TO
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.
TOMORROW'S FORECAST HIGHS WILL BE NOTICEABLY 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER
(IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S) AS COMPARED TO TODAY. SOME SUNSHINE IS
EXPECTED DURING THE MORNING HOURS AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY FILLS IN
HOWEVER CLOUDS RETURN DURING THE AFTERNOON AS A WEAK WAVE TRAILING
THIS PARENT LOW GENERATES A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MN AND WESTERN WI. NOTHING TO WRITE HOME ABOUT BUT DID
WARRANT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE FOR THE FORECAST TO FEATURE 20-30% POPS
FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BEST CASE, HAVE THE UMBRELLA
ACCESSIBLE LIKELY ARE NOT GOING TO NEED TO USE IT. ONCE THIS
WAVE CLEARS THURSDAY NIGHT, MORE PREVALENT HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
BACK IN FOR FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE COOLER THAN
NORMAL GIVEN NW'LY FLOW BUT WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS,
TEMPS SHOULD REACH THE MID-50S FOR MOST.
THIS WEEKEND FEATURES THE START OF A LARGE SCALE PATTERN SHIFT TO A
WARM, HUMID, AND POTENTIALLY STORMY ONE LASTING INTO THE START OF
NEXT WEEK. THERMAL RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS WHICH
WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND ADVECT MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND GREATER
MOISTURE INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE 50S ONCE
AGAIN WHILE SUNDAY COULD BE OUR FIRST SOUPIER FEELING DAY AS DEW
POINTS REACH THE LOW 60S WITH TEMPS IN THE 70S. AS FOR PRECIP, THOSE
WITH OUTDOOR PLANS SHOULD KEEP AN EYE ON THE FORECAST AS THE QPF
FOOTPRINT HAS INCREASED IN SPATIAL COVERAGE FOR THOSE SEEING
GREATER THAN 0.5" OF RAIN, ESPECIALLY THOSE ACROSS EASTERN MN
INTO WESTERN WI.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 637 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
BROKEN MID TO HIGH CLOUDS CLEAR OUT TONIGHT, BUT MVFR TO L0W-END
VFR CEILINGS ARRIVE TOMORROW MORNING & STICK AROUND THROUGH THE
DAY. ALL SITES SHOULD SEE IMPROVEMENT TO VFR THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL REMAIN TO WSW THROUGH THE PERIOD, GUSTS
UP TO 25 KTS EARLY THIS EVENING DROP OFF OVERNIGHT WITH SPEEDS
GENERALLY AROUND 10 KTS TOMORROW MORNING & AFTERNOON.
KMSP...A FEW HOURS OF MVFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE MID
TO LATE MORNING, BUT CONFIDENCE AT THIS POINT IS HIGHER THAT
SKIES WILL STAY MAINLY SCT AND/OR CEILINGS WILL REMAIN JUST OVER
THE MVFR THRESHOLD.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
FRI...VFR. WIND NW 5KTS.
SAT...VFR, BCMG MVFR/-SHRA. WIND SE 10-15KTS.
SUN...MVFR/-SHRA LIKELY, CHANCE IFR. WIND S 10-15G25KTS.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BED
AVIATION...ETA
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