426
FXUS63 KMPX 241033
AFDMPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
533 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ANOTHER DAY OF NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS
WESTERN MINNESOTA.
- QUIET WEATHER TO START THE WEEKEND, FOLLOWED BY A COOL SPRING
RAIN SYSTEM ARRIVING LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 249 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2026
RAIN IS TAKING ITS TIME CLEARING OUT OF WESTERN WISCONSIN EARLY THIS
MORNING. SOME SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS BEHIND THE MAIN PRECIP
SHIELD ON THE MINNESOTA/WISCONSIN BORDER HAVE POPPED UP IN THE
LAST HOUR OR SO ALONG THE COLD FRONT. BACK TO THE WEST, CLOUDS
HAVE CLEARED A GOOD PORTION OF WESTERN/SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AS
DRIER AIR ADVECTS IN BEHIND OUR THURSDAY SYSTEM. THIS DRY AIR
WILL ONCE AGAIN SPELL ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THIS
AFTERNOON. WHILE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN, RH VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 25%
AND WESTERN MINNESOTA LARGELY MISSED OUT ON YESTERDAY'S
RAINFALL. AN SPS FOR THESE CONCERNS HAS BEEN COORDINATED WITH
NEIGHBORING OFFICES. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THIS SHOULD BE THE
LAST DAY OF NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE FOR LATE APRIL
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SUNDAY, WHICH LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST DAY OF
THE PERIOD. THERE ARE SOME LOW POPS ACROSS PORTIONS OF MINNESOTA
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH THE EVENING, BUT THE BETTER CHANCE
FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ARRIVES LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO HIGHLIGHT CHANCES FOR THE ENTIRE CWA TO PICK UP 1" OR
MORE WITH A SURFACE LOW COMING OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS RAIN
WILL BE ESPECIALLY BENEFICIAL TO WESTERN MINNESOTA, BUT WILL NEED TO
KEEP AN EYE ON AREAS OF WESTERN WISCONSIN WHO HAVE SEEN A FAIR SHARE
OF PRECIP OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS. A MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL ENCOMPASSES THE REGION MONDAY FOR THIS THREAT. AS FAR AS
THUNDERSTORMS GO, THIS SHOULD BE A MORE OF A SOAKING RAIN EVENT THAN
ANYTHING ELSE. TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO GET INTO THE UPPER
50S/LOW 60S THROUGH THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. ADDITIONALLY, WE MAY BE
LOOKING AT FROST/FREEZE CONCERNS WITH MORNING LOWS DIPPING INTO THE
LOW TO MID 30S WITH OUR GREEN UP WELL UNDERWAY.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 529 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2026
RAIN HAS FINALLY CLEARED KEAU AND CLOUDS WILL FOLLOW WITHIN THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10KTS EXPECTED TODAY. WINDS GO LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT WITH MID AND HIGH CLOUDS MOVING IN LATE IN THE PERIOD.
KMSP...NO ADDITIONAL CONCERNS.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
SAT...VFR. WIND W 5-10 KTS BECOMING S.
SUN...VFR, CHC PM MVFR/-SHRA. WIND E 5-10KTS.
MON...MVFR/RA LIKELY, CHC TSRA. WIND E 10-15G25KTS.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DYE
AVIATION...DYE
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