748
FXUS63 KMPX 201728
AFDMPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1228 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONABLY COOL & DRY TODAY INTO FRIDAY
- NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS & THUNDERSTORMS COMES FRIDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY.
- WARMER FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 249 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2026
CLEAR SKIES & CALM WINDS ARE RESULTING IN A CHILLY NIGHT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE REGION, WITH AREAS OF FROST EXPECTED UNTIL SUNRISE.
RECENT RAINS HAVE ALSO RESULTED IN SOME PATCHY SHALLOW FOG &
MIST TO DEVELOP ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL MINNESOTA, AGAIN EXPECTED
TO CLEAR UP AFTER SUNRISE. OTHERWISE NO WEATHER CONCERNS OF
NOTE UNTIL LATER ON FRIDAY WITH SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES IN
THE 60S EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW AFTERNOONS.
OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGS ALONG THE US-CANADA BORDER.
ENOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM FRIDAY
AFTERNOON & EVENING TO LIKELY GENERATE SOME THUNDER, ALONG WITH
MOST OF THE RAINFALL FROM THIS SYSTEM. LIGHTER RAIN SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY LINGER THROUGH SATURDAY AS THE SYSTEM EXITS THE
REGION OFF TO THE GREAT LAKES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FRIDAY NIGHT
LOOK TO BE ON THE ORDER OF 0.5-1" ACROSS WESTERN MINNESOTA,
DECREASING TO 0.1-0.25" ACROSS WESTERN WISCONSIN.
THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND GETS OFF TO A COOL & CLOUDY START WITH
SOME LIGHT SHOWERS/DRIZZLE LINGERING THROUGH THE DAY ON
SATURDAY & TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE LOW TO MID 60S. WARMER
& SUNNIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S SUNDAY & MID 80S LIKELY ON
MONDAY. WE'LL HAVE TO MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR A WEAK UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE BRINGING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SOMETIME
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, BUT THESE CHANCES LOOK TO MAINLY
LIMITED TO SOUTHERN MINNESOTA.
MORE SUMMER-Y CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR NEXT WEEK AS ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE HIGHLIGHTS MULTIPLE DAYS WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S,
OR AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE END OF MAY. NO MAJOR
SYSTEMS OR WIDESPREAD CHANCES FOR RAIN ARE EXPECTED.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2026
FAIR WEATHER CU HAVE BLOSSOMED ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN MINNESOTA
AND WISCONSIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WITH
HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. LOOKING OUT TO THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS, HIGH CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO CREEP INTO
SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA. EXPECTING HIGH CLOUDS TO INCREASE
THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH WINDS BECOMING EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY
BY TOMORROW MORNING AS THE HIGH CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST.
KMSP...NO ADDITIONAL CONCERNS.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
FRI...VFR. PM MVFR/-SHRA. WIND E 10-15KTS.
SAT...MVFR/-SHRA EARLY. WIND S 5KTS.
SUN...VFR. WIND SW 5KTS.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ETA
AVIATION...DYE
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