286
FXUS63 KMPX 201913
AFDMPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
213 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COOL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY.
- THE SECOND HALF OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND LOOKS TO BE MUCH
WARMER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 211 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2026
HIGH PRESSURE IS SITUATED OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS AND TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 50S. FAIR WEATHER CU
ARE SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS MOVING UP FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. THESE CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THIS
EVENING AS THE HIGH MOVES OVER THE GREAT LAKES, BUT WE WILL REMAIN
DRY THROUGH TOMORROW. OUR RAIN CHANCES INCREASE FRIDAY AS A TROUGH
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND SLOWLY PIVOTS ACROSS THE DAKOTAS AND
MINNESOTA THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE LIFTING NORTH. WITH VIRTUALLY NO
INSTABILITY TO WORK WITH, THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OVER THE 48 HOUR PERIOD ARE HIGHEST OVER WESTERN MINNESOTA,
WITH QPF TOTALS AROUND 0.10 TO 0.20". AMOUNTS DROP OFF QUICKLY TO
THE EAST WITH ONLY A FEW HUNDREDTHS POSSIBLE. THIS MEANS THAT THE
START OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND WILL LIKELY NOT BE A COMPLETE
WASHOUT, BUT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND CONTINUED TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW
TO MID 60S WILL NOT FEEL VERY SUMMER-LIKE.
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND WILL SEE TEMPERATURES INCREASE TO
NEAR NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL BY MONDAY. RIDGING SETS UP OVER THE
CENTRAL CONUS AND REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL GO FROM 10-15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THIS
WEEK TO 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL NEXT WEEK. HUMIDITY WILL ALSO BE
ON THE INCREASE WITH PROLONGED SOUTHERLY FLOW. THERE ARE SOME LOW
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT NEXT WEEK, BUT ANY
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OR SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2026
FAIR WEATHER CU HAVE BLOSSOMED ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN MINNESOTA
AND WISCONSIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WITH
HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. LOOKING OUT TO THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS, HIGH CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO CREEP INTO
SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA. EXPECTING HIGH CLOUDS TO INCREASE
THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH WINDS BECOMING EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY
BY TOMORROW MORNING AS THE HIGH CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST.
KMSP...NO ADDITIONAL CONCERNS.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
FRI...VFR. PM MVFR/-SHRA. WIND E 10-15KTS.
SAT...MVFR/-SHRA EARLY. WIND S 5KTS.
SUN...VFR. WIND SW 5KTS.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DYE
AVIATION...DYE
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