081
FNUS73 KMQT 262240
FWSMQT
SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHWARTZ CREEK...MICHIGAN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
640 PM EDT MON MAY 26 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TO START TUESDAY WITH A 5 MPH EASTERLY 20 FOOT WIND.
EXPECT INCREASING FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS IN THE LATE MORNING TO
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS TUESDAY AS THE TEMPERATURE INCREASES TO THE LOW-70S
AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPS INTO THE LOW-30 PERCENT RANGE. AFTER 1300 CT,
A LAKE BREEZE OFF LAKE SUPERIOR MAY MOVE THROUGH THE FIRE SITE AND SHIFT
WINDS TO NORTHEASTERLY. WHILE NO WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED, A
LONE AND LIGHT RAIN SHOWER CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT AT THE FIRE SITE
TUESDAY EVENING AFTER 1600 CT. SPRINKLES TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN
INCH OF RAIN WOULD BE THE ONLY RAINFALL EXPECTED IF ANY SHOWER DOES
PASS OVER THE FIRE SITE (10% CHANCE).
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................38 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............37.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3300 FT AGL
INCREASING TO 5500-7000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO 6600-7700 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5200 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (267) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (498.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......23 DECREASING TO 11.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........57 67 68 69 74 78 77
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............63 65 68 69 70 69 68
DEWPOINT........38 38 37 37 37 37 37
RH..............38 36 33 32 30 31 32
33 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E E E E
33 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 7 7 7
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 5 6 6 6
WIND GUST.......6 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 5.5 7.0 7.6 7.7 6.6 5.2
VINDX KT-FT/100.27 50 49 45 46 47 31
CEILING (KFT)...24 23 18 15 11 11 11
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............36.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (24.0-357.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......12 INCREASING TO 19 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........76 76 75 78 82 85 84 81 78 77 78 79
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............66 65 62 60 56 54 52 51 50 49 48 48
DEWPOINT........37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 36 36
RH..............34 35 39 42 47 52 58 60 62 63 64 64
33 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
33 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
WIND GUST.......10 10 10 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 3.1 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
VINDX KT-FT/100.36 28 15 7 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2
CEILING (KFT)...12 13 19
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............39 INCREASING TO 41 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
33-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST UP TO 6 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-6200 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (17.0-422.0) INCREASING TO GOOD
(464.0) IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......MISSING.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........82 80 79 78 77 76 74 71 69 73 76 80
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............48 49 51 55 59 62 64 66 66 67 66 65
DEWPOINT........37 38 38 39 40 41 41 41 42 41 41 41
RH..............65 65 62 55 50 47 43 41 40 39 40 41
33 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
33 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6
WIND GUST.......6 6 6 8 8 8 11 11 11 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 1.5 2.6 3.5 4.5 5.2 5.8 6.2 6.2 5.8
VINDX KT-FT/100.2 2 3 15 29 42 53 58 58 57 54 46
CEILING (KFT)...
FORECASTER...TDUD
REQUESTED BY...AVI SHALOM BURN BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514705.0/MQT
.DELDT 05/27/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SHALOMA@MICHIGAN.GOV
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