153
FNUS73 KMQT 271112
FWSMQT
SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHWARTZ CREEK...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
712 AM EDT TUE MAY 27 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE STREAMING OVER THE REGION THIS
MORNING AS WINDS REMAIN CALM UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. EXPECT INCREASING
FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON AS
TEMPERATURE INCREASES TO THE LOW 70S. A LAKE BREEZE OFF LAKE
SUPERIOR WILL SHIFT WINDS OUT OF THE EAST TO NORTHEAST AFTER 3 PM CDT
AND ALSO HELP SLOW FURTHER DROPS IN RH. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT,
MAINLY AROUND 5MPH. MINIMUM RH IS EXPECTED NEAR 30% THIS AFTERNOON.
WHILE MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED, SOME SPRINKLES TO A FEW
HUNDRETHS OF RAIN CAN'T BE RULED OUT THIS AFTERNOON (10% CHANCE).
MAINLY DRY WEATHER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN THE MID 40S
AND AN RH RECOVERY TO AROUND 60%. A SIMILAR FORECAST IS EXPECTED FOR
WEDNESDAY WITH BETTER, ALBEIT LOW, CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................39 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............38.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7
MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2700 FT AGL
INCREASING TO 6900-7500 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (189) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (495.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......14 DECREASING TO 8.8.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........81 85 82 83 85 83 89
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............64 67 69 70 70 70 70
DEWPOINT........39 39 39 39 39 38 38
RH..............39 35 34 33 32 31 31
33 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE E E E
33 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 7 7 7
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 5 6 6 6
WIND GUST.......6 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 4.8 6.0 6.5 6.9 7.5 7.1
VINDX KT-FT/100.19 38 48 46 41 45 50
CEILING (KFT)...16 14 14 12 11 9.2 8.8
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 63 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............37.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1200 FT AGL
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (28.0-508.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......8.4 INCREASING TO 10 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT, THEN DECREASING TO 9.4 AFTER 3 AM
INCREASING TO 11 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........82 85 86 87 88 88 87 82 77 76 79 80
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............69 68 65 62 58 55 53 52 51 50 49 49
DEWPOINT........39 39 39 38 37 36 36 36 35 36 36 36
RH..............32 35 39 42 45 48 52 54 55 58 60 61
33 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
33 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 2
WIND GUST.......10 10 10 8 8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.4 4.8 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
VINDX KT-FT/100.51 39 10 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
CEILING (KFT)...8.8 8.4 8.5 9.2 10 12 12 13 12 9.5 9.4 11
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............39.
33-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST UP TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-7300 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (28.0-501.0) INCREASING TO GOOD
(520.0) IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......11 INCREASING TO 16 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
TO 12 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 9.2.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........74 73 70 69 68 65 62 64 68 72 75 76
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0
TEMP............48 49 51 55 61 65 68 69 70 70 70 70
DEWPOINT........37 37 39 40 41 41 41 40 40 40 40 40
RH..............63 63 63 56 48 42 37 35 34 33 33 33
33 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E
33 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 6 6 6 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7
WIND GUST.......5 5 5 8 8 8 11 11 11 11 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.8 3.2 5.0 6.4 7.1 7.3 6.8 5.8
VINDX KT-FT/100.3 3 3 7 14 32 50 58 57 59 59 52
CEILING (KFT)...11 12 13 16 18 12 13 13 9.4 9.2 9.2 9.7
FORECASTER...JABLONSKI
REQUESTED BY...AVI SHALOM BURN BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514705.0/MQT
.DELDT 05/27/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SHALOMA@MICHIGAN.GOV
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