696  
FXUS63 KMQT 051744  
AFDMQT  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI  
144 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- BENIGN WEATHER WITH COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED  
THE REST OF THIS WEEK.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 216 AM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026  
 
EXPECT FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS TROUGHING  
REMAINS OVER THE AREA AND THE JET STREAM REMAINS TO THE SOUTH OF US  
FOR THE NEXT WEEK. WHILE MULTIPLE WEAK SHORTWAVES LOOK TO ROLL  
THROUGH THE REGION AND COULD POTENTIALLY BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN (AND  
SNOW ON WEDNESDAY) SHOWERS AT TIMES, DRY AIR AT AND JUST ABOVE THE  
SFC LOOKS TO LIMIT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS SEEN OVER THE NEXT WEEK.  
WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING BEING SEEN OVER THE PACNW THE REST OF  
THIS WEEK BEFORE SLOWLY PROGGING EASTWARD EARLY NEXT WEEK, EXPECT  
COOLER CANADIAN AIR TO GENERALLY MOVE INTO THE U.P. THROUGHOUT THE  
FORECAST PERIOD; THUS, BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE PROJECTED FOR  
TODAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGHS TYPICALLY ONLY GET INTO THE 40S  
AND 50S AND LOWS DROP INTO THE 20S AND 30S.  
 
WITH THE DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT THE SFC THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS,  
EXPECT MIXING IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER TO INDUCE DRY RHS ON THE GROUND.  
THEREFORE, DON'T BE SURPRISED IF WE SEE SEVERAL DAYS AT A TIME WHERE  
RHS GET BELOW 30% OVER PORTIONS OR EVEN MUCH OF THE U.P., WITH THE  
SOUTH CENTRAL EXPECTED TO GET INTO THE 20 PERCENTS RH THIS  
AFTERNOON. THE DAYS WHERE THIS MAY BE AN EXCEPTION ARE POSSIBLY ON  
WEDNESDAY WHEN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AND POTENTIALLY  
WHEN RAIN SHOWERS OCCUR THIS WEEKEND AND BEYOND WITH THE PASSAGE OF  
SOME WEAK SHORTWAVE LOWS. YET, BECAUSE TEMPERATURES ARE STILL  
EXPECTED TO BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS NEXT WEEK OR SO, NO ELEVATED  
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE PREDICTED, ALTHOUGH WE MAY APPROACH IT  
TODAY AS WINDS REMAIN GUSTY FROM THE WEST (GUSTS GENERALLY 20 TO 30  
MPH).  
 
 
   
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 144 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026  
 
MAIN IMPACT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE THE STRONG NORTHWEST  
WINDS WITH GUSTS IN THE 20 TO 25 KT RANGE AT IWD AND SAW AND UP TO  
30 KTS AT CMX. EXPECT WINDS TO DIMINISH BY THIS EVENING. OTHER THAN  
SOME BRIEF MVFR RAIN SHOWERS HIGHLIGHTED WITH A PROB30 AT  
SAW TOMORROW, VFR WILL BE THE PREVAILING FLIGHT CATEGORY.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 216 AM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026  
 
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS CONTINUES TODAY AS COLD  
AIR ADVECTION PUMPS INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. HOWEVER, WINDS DROP  
DOWN TO 20 KNOTS OR LESS TONIGHT AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING  
BEGINS TO BUILD BACK INTO THE AREA. EXPECT THE LIGHT WINDS TO  
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AS WEAK RIDGING AND TROUGHING  
OSCILLATES OVER THE AREA.  
 
 
   
MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
UPPER MICHIGAN...  
NONE.  
LAKE SUPERIOR...  
NONE.  
LAKE MICHIGAN...  
NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...TAP  
AVIATION...TDUD  
MARINE...TAP  
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