685
FNUS73 KMQT 041414
FWSMQT
SPOT FORECAST FOR MINERS CASTLE RX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1014 AM EDT THU JUN 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JUNE 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES THROUGH SOUTHERN
ONTARIO TODAY AND TONIGHT, REACHING QUEBEC FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL
HELP PULL GULF MOISTURE NORTH AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT, INCREASING THE
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. DEEPER
MOISTURE WILL NOT REACH THE BURN AREA UNTIL TONIGHT, EXPECT RH TO FALL
AS LOW AS 25% THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO
20 MPH.
CLOUD COVER, POTENTIAL PRECIPITATION AND HIGHER DEWPOINTS WILL KEEP THE
RH HIGHER ON FRIDAY, GENERALLY ABOVE 70%. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY COOLER
AIR ON SATURDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT ALONG WITH NORTHERLY FLOW OFF OF LAKE
SUPERIOR. THIS WILL KEEP RH ABOVE 50% THROUGH THE DAY THOUGH PRECIP IS
NOT EXPECTED.
LIGHT SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL RETURN FOR SUNDAY WITH OVERALL WARMER
TEMPERATURES (LOW 80S FOR HIGHS) AND DRY WEATHER. AT THIS TIME RH
LOOKS TO BE IN THE 35 TO 40% RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON. WITH THE LIGHT
FLOW EXPECT A LAKE BREEZE TO DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON, RESULTING IN A
WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON. BEHIND
THE LAKE BREEZE TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 60S AND RH WILL INCREASE.
MONDAY WILL SEE TEMPERATURES REACHING THE MID 80S WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS OF
10-15 MPH, GUSTING TO 25 MPH, KEEPING THE LAKE BREEZE AT BAY. RH WILL BE
IN THE 30-40% RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 84.
RH..................37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............46.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH GUSTING TO 20 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH GUSTING TO 20 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 700-1700 FT
AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (100) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (536.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......23 DECREASING TO 20 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........47 68 64 75 75 85 79
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10
TEMP............74 81 81 83 84 84 82
DEWPOINT........46 45 45 45 46 47 48
RH..............37 28 29 27 27 28 31
33 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S
33 FT WIND SPD..10 12 12 12 13 13 13
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 10 10 10 10 10 10
WIND GUST.......14 14 14 14 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.7 2.7 3.1 3.6 2.1 0.8
VINDX KT-FT/100.10 24 37 46 54 33 12
CEILING (KFT)...23 23 24 23 21 22 20
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...19 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............50 INCREASING TO 54 OVERNIGHT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-700 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (46.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.04 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......19 DECREASING TO 15 EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
DECREASING TO 9.9 LATE IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO 8.7 LATE IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO 5.9 DECREASING TO 5.3 OVERNIGHT
INCREASING TO 6.0.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........84 85 93 92 81 82 92 91 78 81 73 83
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 30 30 30 40 30 30 40 40 40 40
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
TEMP............83 77 69 60 59 58 57 56 55 54 56 55
DEWPOINT........48 49 50 50 50 51 52 53 54 54 55 54
RH..............30 38 50 69 74 78 86 89 96 100 96 96
33 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
33 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 12 12 12 10 10 10 8 8 8
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 8 8 8 6 6 6
WIND GUST.......17 17 17 17 17 17 14 14 14 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
VINDX KT-FT/100.11 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
CEILING (KFT)...19 15 15 9.9 8.7 6.7 6.2 5.9 5.3 6.7 6.1 6.0
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...21 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69.
RH..................MIN 72 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............56.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1200 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (29.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.32 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......5.9 DECREASING TO 4.6 EARLY IN THE MORNING,
THEN DECREASING TO 3.3 EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO 4.8 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 5.8 INCREASING TO 6.9 EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5.9 DECREASING TO
4.8 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3.8.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........92 95 87 83 70 74 77 78 76 73 71 71
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 30 30 30 20 30 30 60 60 60 70
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
TEMP............55 56 58 59 60 60 61 62 62 63 65 62
DEWPOINT........55 55 56 56 57 56 56 56 56 56 56 56
RH..............98 95 93 91 90 88 84 80 80 78 72 79
33 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SE SE SE
33 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4
WIND GUST.......11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.6
VINDX KT-FT/100.5 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 3 6 7 3
CEILING (KFT)...5.9 4.6 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.7 4.8 5.8 6.9 5.9 4.8 3.8
FORECASTER...NJL
REQUESTED BY...JOE HUGHES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614960.0/MQT
.DELDT 06/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRANDON_RAMIREZ@NPS.GOV,JOSEPH_HUGHES@NPS.GOV
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