079
FNUS73 KMQT 171542
FWSMQT
SPOT FORECAST FOR WATERSMEET ADMIN 2ND ATTEMPT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1142 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A LOW MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO UPPER MIDWEST FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY MAY BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS TO THE WATERSMEET
AREA FROM THE TIME THE BURN STARTS UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER, WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING OVER LAKE SUPERIOR, RAIN
CHANCES MAY END UP FURTHER SOUTH THAN CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED, SO IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT THE WATERSMEET AREA COULD AVOID RAINFALL ALTOGETHER FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. OTHERWISE, EXPECT FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS FROM THE
SOUTHEAST TO EAST THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD, WITH WINDS BECOMING CALM
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. EXPECT A FULL RH RECOVERY EACH NIGHT,
WITH MIN RHS ONLY DROPPING DOWN INTO MAYBE THE 50 PERCENTS FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 61 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............50.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (156.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.09 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......11 DECREASING TO 3.2.
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
SKY (%).........89 91 92 88 88
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 30 30
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............63 63 64 64 64
DEWPOINT........50 50 51 50 51
RH..............64 62 62 61 62
33 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE
33 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4
WIND GUST.......8 8 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.5
VINDX KT-FT/100.16 19 16 19 20
CEILING (KFT)...11 6.6 5.5 4.3 3.2
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............50 DECREASING TO 46 AFTER 3 AM.
33-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (35.0-182.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.12 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......MISSING.
TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
SKY (%).........91 87 83 87 78 78 73 67 73 78 81 86
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 40 40 40 30 30 30 20 20 30 20
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............64 60 58 55 52 51 50 48 48 47 47 47
DEWPOINT........51 51 51 52 52 51 50 48 48 47 47 46
RH..............63 72 79 89 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 97
33 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
33 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
WIND GUST.......8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.7
VINDX KT-FT/100.18 11 6 4 6 7 6 7 6 4 4 6
CEILING (KFT)...
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............45 INCREASING TO 51 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
33-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3000 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (56.0-292.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......MISSING.
TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
SKY (%).........84 82 87 73 74 74 75 77 78 77 77 76
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............47 46 47 51 55 58 61 62 63 64 65 65
DEWPOINT........45 45 46 50 52 53 53 53 52 52 52 52
RH..............94 94 96 98 92 83 77 72 68 65 63 64
33 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E
33 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4
WIND GUST.......11 11 11 12 12 12 11 11 11 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.0 2.8
VINDX KT-FT/100.6 13 9 14 16 16 20 24 27 29 29 25
CEILING (KFT)...
FORECASTER...TAP
REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM MEGINLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622069.0/MQT
.DELDT 09/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL WILLIAM.MEGINLEY@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page