270
FNUS73 KMQT 102231
FWSMQT
SPOT FORECAST FOR RIDGE FIRE...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
631 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 EDT ON OCTOBER 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
TONIGHT:
AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO FALL THIS EVENING, RH VALUES WILL
RECOVER TO AROUND 70 PERCENT OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE
FROM THE CURRENT APPROXIMATELY 20 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 30 MPH TO
AROUND 15 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT, REMAINING OUT
OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST.
SUNDAY:
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 MPH GUSTING TO 25 MPH REMAIN STEADY FOR MUCH
OF THE DAY, DECREASING TO BELOW 10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH BY
SUNSET AND BECOMING SOMEWHAT VARIABLE IN DIRECTION (PRIMARILY A
VARIANCE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST) LATE. RHS FALL TO AROUND
40 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY:
CLOUD COVER QUICKLY BUILDS IN, WITH CEILINGS FALLING SHARPLY TO
BELOW 3KFT AFTER MIDNIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE (UP TO 30
PERCENT) OF RAINFALL BEGINNING AROUND 8 AM MONDAY WITH MUCH HIGHER
CHANCES OF RAIN 8 PM. OVERNIGHT, WINDS VEER, EVENTUALLY BECOMING
OUT OF THE NORTH BY SUNRISE MONDAY, WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 5
TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH, WITH WIND SPEEDS INCREASING
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS TO 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH,
THOUGH MUCH COOLER DAYTIME HIGHS (ONLY AROUND 65) KEEP RHS ABOVE
70 PERCENT.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........73 AT FORECAST START...MIN 58.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MAX 70 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............54 DECREASING TO 50 AFTER 3 AM.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 20 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 38 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE
400-1200 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (256) AT FORECAST START. MIN...POOR
(83.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......25.
TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........3 3 2 4 4 5 4 3 2 4 4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............73 71 68 66 65 64 63 63 62 61 60
DEWPOINT........55 55 55 56 55 54 53 52 51 50 49
RH..............53 57 65 69 70 70 69 68 67 67 66
33 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
33 FT WIND SPD..20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 17 17 17
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 14 14 14
WIND GUST.......30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 26 26 26
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5
VINDX KT-FT/100.26 13 12 11 12 11 11 11 10 8 8
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............48 INCREASING TO 52 IN THE AFTERNOON.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 31 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-2800 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (82.0-515.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......23.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 4 1 4 5 3 2 5 6 5 5 6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............59 58 58 59 62 65 70 72 74 76 76 76
DEWPOINT........47 47 46 48 49 50 51 52 52 52 53 53
RH..............65 65 64 67 62 59 51 48 46 44 44 44
33 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
33 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 14 14 14
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 11 11
WIND GUST.......23 23 23 25 25 25 25 25 25 19 19 19
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.8 2.7
VINDX KT-FT/100.8 8 9 13 24 30 29 38 42 52 50 43
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 24 24 23
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............54.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 4 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (30.0-239.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........5 21 27 34 67 85 93 91 91 82 79 86
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............74 70 66 64 62 61 60 59 58 58 56 56
DEWPOINT........53 54 55 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 53 53
RH..............48 58 68 71 75 78 80 83 85 86 90 92
33 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W N N N
33 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4
WIND GUST.......14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6
VINDX KT-FT/100.24 9 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 5
COLUMBUS DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.
RH..................MIN 83 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............54.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1500 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (52.0-251.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.03 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........82 85 84 78 83 88 88 87 87 87 87 87
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0
TEMP............55 53 53 53 55 58 60 61 61 61 60 58
DEWPOINT........53 52 52 53 55 56 56 56 56 56 56 55
RH..............94 97 98 100 98 93 89 85 83 84 87 90
33 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW NW NW N N N N N N
33 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 9 9 9 12 12 12 12 12 12
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW NW NW N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 7 10 10 10 10 10 10
WIND GUST.......12 12 12 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
VINDX KT-FT/100.5 9 14 10 14 23 25 24 22 21 19 18
FORECASTER...GS
REQUESTED BY...JEFF VASHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2623553.0/MQT
.DELDT 10/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL VASHERJ@MICHIGAN.GOV
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