206  
FNUS73 KMQT 102243  
FWSMQT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FP FIRE...MI DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI  
643 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 EDT ON OCTOBER 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TONIGHT:  
AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO FALL THIS EVENING, RH VALUES WILL  
RECOVER TO AROUND 70 PERCENT OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE  
FROM THE CURRENT APPROXIMATELY 20 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 30 MPH TO  
AROUND 15 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT, REMAINING OUT  
OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST.  
 
SUNDAY:  
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 MPH GUSTING TO 25 MPH REMAIN STEADY FOR MUCH  
OF THE DAY, DECREASING TO BELOW 10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH BY  
SUNSET AND BECOMING VARIABLE IN DIRECTION LATE. RHS FALL TO AROUND  
40 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
 
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY:  
CLOUD COVER QUICKLY BUILDS IN, WITH CEILINGS FALLING SHARPLY  
BELOW 3KFT AROUND 3 AM. CHANCES OF RAIN ARE 15 PERCENT OR LESS UNTIL  
AROUND 8 PM, WHEN THEY INCREASE TO OVER 60 PERCENT. OVERNIGHT, WINDS  
VEER, BECOMING OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AND THEN NORTHWEST AFTER SUNRISE  
MONDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH  
OVERNIGHT INCREASE DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS TO 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
AROUND 20 MPH, THOUGH MUCH COOLER DAYTIME HIGHS (IN THE UPPER 60S)  
KEEP RHS ABOVE 70 PERCENT.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT FORECAST START...MIN 56.  
RH..................50 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MAX 70 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............54 DECREASING TO 49 AFTER 3 AM.  
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 16 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 32 MPH.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
26 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE  
400-1400 FT AGL.  
VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (285) AT FORECAST START. MIN...POOR  
(66.0).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (KFT).......21 INCREASING TO 24 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........1 3 3 4 2 3 2 2 2 2 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 72 68 66 65 64 63 62 61 59 58  
DEWPOINT........54 55 55 56 55 54 53 52 50 49 48  
RH..............50 55 63 69 70 70 70 68 68 68 68  
33 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
33 FT WIND SPD..16 16 17 17 17 16 16 16 14 14 14  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 14 14 14 13 13 13 11 11 11  
WIND GUST.......26 26 23 23 23 23 23 23 19 19 19  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4  
VINDX KT-FT/100.29 15 10 10 8 8 8 8 7 7 7  
CEILING (KFT)...21 24 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78.  
RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............47 INCREASING TO 51 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 26 MPH.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 21 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-2900 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (62.0-514.0).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (KFT).......25.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 3 2 2 7 11 1 6 4 4 9 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 57 57 58 62 65 71 74 76 77 78 78  
DEWPOINT........47 45 45 47 48 49 51 52 52 52 52 52  
RH..............67 66 65 68 61 57 49 46 44 42 41 41  
33 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
33 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
WIND GUST.......18 18 18 21 21 21 21 21 21 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.9  
VINDX KT-FT/100.6 6 7 10 25 26 32 38 43 51 51 50  
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY  
(25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY  
(65-75 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53.  
RH..................MAX 98 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............54.  
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT,  
THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER 3 AM.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
UP TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT,  
THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1600 FT AGL.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (27.0-195.0).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (KFT).......23 DECREASING TO 0.9.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........1 27 24 37 55 74 83 83 82 84 77 78  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............77 72 67 65 62 61 60 59 59 58 56 55  
DEWPOINT........53 54 55 54 54 54 54 54 53 53 53 53  
RH..............44 53 64 69 74 76 79 82 83 85 89 91  
33 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE W W W NW NW NW N N N  
33 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE W W W NW NW NW N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 5 5 5 4 4 4 2 2 2  
WIND GUST.......14 14 14 12 12 12 11 11 11 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5  
VINDX KT-FT/100.20 6 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 3 3 3  
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 23 21 20 18 15 13 9.0 4.9 0.9  
   
COLUMBUS DAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.  
RH..................MIN 72 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............54 INCREASING TO 56 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (27.0-210.0).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........81 86 86 78 83 87 87 87 87 83 79 75  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0  
TEMP............55 53 53 54 57 60 63 64 65 66 65 63  
DEWPOINT........53 52 52 54 55 56 57 57 57 56 56 55  
RH..............93 95 95 98 94 87 81 76 74 72 73 77  
33 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW NW NW N N N N N N  
33 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW NW NW N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7  
WIND GUST.......10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4  
VINDX KT-FT/100.3 3 6 9 13 17 19 21 21 21 19 17  
 

 
FORECASTER...GS  
REQUESTED BY...JEFF VASHER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2623554.0/MQT  
.DELDT 10/10/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL VASHERJ@MICHIGAN.GOV  
 
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