783
FNUS73 KMQT 110921
FWSMQT
SPOT FORECAST FOR MUSKY FIRE...MI-MIS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
521 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 EDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WHILE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY (NEARING 80),
WITH THE LLJ WEAKENING ALOFT CAUSING THE SOUTHERLY SFC WINDS TO
SLOWLY DWINDLE WITH TIME TODAY AND WITH MINRHS GENERALLY NOT NEARLY
AS DRY AS THEY WERE YESTERDAY, EXPECT TODAY TO BE THE LAST ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER DAY. WHILE MIXING HIGHER INTO THE ATMOSPHERE WITH TIME
TODAY WILL HELP TO BRING STRONGER GUSTS TO THE SFC AND THE
DOWNSLOPING WINDS ASSISTING IN DRYING THINGS OUT AT THE SFC AS WELL
(POTENTIALLY MUCH MORE THAN FORECASTED I.E. MAYBE EVEN CLOSER TO 30%
OR LESS LOCALLY), WITH THE LLJ DWINDLING AWAY THE ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER THREAT LOOKS TO FINISH UP BY AROUND SUNSET. MOVING INTO
TONIGHT, WINDS SLACKEN AND BECOME FAIRLY CALM AND SOMEWHAT VARIABLE
FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS, ALLOWING FOR POTENTIALLY A FULL RH RECOVERY.
WITH TROUGHING AND COOLER/MORE MOIST AIR COMING IN LATE TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY, EXPECT THE WINDS TO BEGIN PICKING UP FROM THE NORTH/NORTHEAST
AS SOME LAKE EFFECT RAIN/DRIZZLE SHOWERS COULD BEGIN BEING SEEN AS
EARLY AS MONDAY MORNING.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT FORECAST START...MAX 77.
RH..................74 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 44 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 18 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 18 TO 21 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 33 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE
500-1000 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (96) AT FORECAST START. MAX...FAIR
(241.0).
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........2 0 0 1 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............60 67 73 76 76
RH..............74 69 54 47 47
33 FT WIND......S 18 S 21 S 21 S 21 S 20
20 FT WIND......S 14 S 17 S 17 S 17 S 16
WIND GUST.......26 26 26 26 25
MIX HGT (FT)....500 900 900 800 700
VINDX KT-FT/100.10 20 19 16 14
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 7 TO 8 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-800 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (26.0-152.0).
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........11 20 33 52 80 69
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............72 64 61 60 58 57
RH..............51 73 81 85 90 96
33 FT WIND......S 16 S 16 SW 13 SW 10 SW 10 W 8
20 FT WIND......S 13 S 13 SW 10 SW 8 SW 8 W 6
WIND GUST.......21 21 18 14 14 10
MIX HGT (FT)....800 600 400 400 400 400
VINDX KT-FT/100.15 10 6 6 4 3
COLUMBUS DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON,
THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1600 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (21.0-257.0).
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........89 84 78 83 87 89
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............56 55 62 67 69 68
RH..............98 98 86 71 67 71
33 FT WIND......NE 9 NE 9 E 14 E 14 E 14 E 15
20 FT WIND......NE 7 NE 7 E 11 E 11 E 11 E 12
WIND GUST.......11 11 14 14 14 17
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 900 1400 1600 800
VINDX KT-FT/100.2 5 11 22 26 9
FORECASTER...TAP
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER COX
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2623564.0/MQT
.DELDT 10/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL COXC2@MICHIGAN.GOV
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