208
FNUS73 KMQT 111710
FWSMQT
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK RIVER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
110 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1300 EDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON
AS RH VALUES DROP AS LOW AS 30 PERCENT AND WINDS REMAIN AROUND 10-15 MPH OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST INTO THIS EVENING. COULD STILL SEE FEW STRAY GUSTS TO 20 MPH THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON, BUT WINDS WILL BE TRENDING DOWN. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
AS A SYSTEM PASSES NORTH OVER LAKE SUPERIOR. THIS WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUD COVER
WITH MUCH BETTER HUMIDITY RECOVERIES TO AROUND 90 PERCENT. WINDS GO LIGHT TONIGHT
AND THEN SWITCH AROUND TO THE NE AT 5 TO 10 MPH ON MONDAY. CAN'T RULE OUT A FEW
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY (10%) CHANCE, BUT DO NOT EXPECT ANY
PRECIPITATION AT THIS TIME. ANY RAINFALL WOULD BE MINIMAL.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT FORECAST START...MAX 82.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 30-35 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............49.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH EARLY
AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (423) AT FORECAST START. MAX...GOOD
(540.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......25.
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 12 29 46 52
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............75 77 79 79 78
DEWPOINT........49 50 49 49 50
RH..............40 38 33 36 37
33 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW
33 FT WIND SPD..13 13 12 12 12
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10
WIND GUST.......18 18 17 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.6 2.7 3.0 3.0
VINDX KT-FT/100.42 49 49 53 54
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 24
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) TOWARDS MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............52.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (22.0-384.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......20 DECREASING TO 4.5.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........49 37 54 48 49 78 85 84 89 90 95 93
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............77 73 70 67 65 64 63 63 61 60 57 56
DEWPOINT........50 52 53 53 54 54 54 54 54 54 54 53
RH..............40 47 55 61 67 70 72 75 78 82 88 90
33 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S SE SE SE E E E
33 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 6 6 6 3 3 3 2 2 2
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S SE SE SE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 2
WIND GUST.......12 12 12 11 11 11 10 10 10 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
VINDX KT-FT/100.38 8 4 4 4 5 4 3 2 2 2 3
CEILING (KFT)...24 23 23 24 23 23 22 18 14 16 13 4.6
COLUMBUS DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.
RH..................MIN 55-60 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............51.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (26.0-148.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......0.5 TO 1.0.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........92 93 92 89 82 77 73 73 69 70 65 67
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............55 54 54 54 56 58 62 63 63 65 63 63
DEWPOINT........53 52 53 52 51 50 49 49 49 49 49 50
RH..............90 93 98 93 83 73 64 61 59 57 60 63
33 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE
33 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7
WIND GUST.......8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.6
VINDX KT-FT/100.3 3 6 7 9 9 12 12 12 13 15 13
CEILING (KFT)...1.2 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.2
FORECASTER...CB
REQUESTED BY...MIDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2623578.0/MQT
.DELDT 10/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SM.FS.MIDC@USDA.GOV
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