751
FNUS73 KMQT 112120
FWSMQT
SPOT FORECAST FOR RIDGE FIRE...MIDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
520 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 EDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
TEMPERATURES HAVE REACHED THEIR PEAK AT 77 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON AND
ARE EXPECTED TO COOL HEADING TOWARDS THE EVENING. RHS HAVE REACHED THEIR
MINIMUM AROUND 35% AND ARE EXPECTED TO RECOVER UP TO 88% OVERNIGHT. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTHWEST AT AROUND 10MPH UNTIL EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA EARLY MONDAY, WHICH WILL
CAUSE WINDS TO SHIFT NORTHERLY WITH SPEEDS AROUND 5MPH. AN INVERSION
SETS UP OVER SURFACE LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID-50S TONIGHT, WHICH
WILL RESULT IN POSSIBLE SMOKE ACCUMULATION AS VENTILATION RATES WILL
BE POOR TO FAIR AND MIXING HEIGHTS FALL TO 500FT. CLOUD CEILINGS WILL
DECREASE TO AROUND 400-500FT BY SUNRISE AND STAY AT OR BELOW 500FT
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOW 60S MONDAY, WITH
A MINIMUM RH AROUND 75%. VENTILATION RATES REMAIN POOR WHILE MIXING
HEIGHTS ONLY RISE TO AROUND 1000 FEET. THERE IS A 30% CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION MONDAY, HOWEVER ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINIMAL. BETTER
CHANCES FOR ACCUMULATING RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............49.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE 2400
FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (440) AT FORECAST START. MAX...GOOD
(440.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......25.
TIME (EDT) 5PM
SKY (%).........13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0
CHC OF THDR (%).0
TEMP............76
DEWPOINT........49
RH..............38
33 FT WIND DIR..SW
33 FT WIND SPD..10
20 FT WIND DIR..SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8
WIND GUST.......18
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4
VINDX KT-FT/100.44
CEILING (KFT)...25
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55.
RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............52.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AROUND 4 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1600 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (35.0-246.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......23 DECREASING TO 11.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........27 31 33 29 36 49 68 56 72 84 91 94
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 0 0 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
TEMP............75 71 69 67 66 65 64 63 62 61 59 57
DEWPOINT........50 51 52 53 53 53 54 54 53 53 53 52
RH..............42 49 55 59 62 65 70 71 74 75 80 82
33 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W N N N
33 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 8 8 8 6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4
WIND GUST.......14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
VINDX KT-FT/100.25 9 5 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4
CEILING (KFT)...25 24 24 24 25 23 21 20 19 20 16 11
COLUMBUS DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.
RH..................MIN 73 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............52.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1200 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (40.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......4.7 DECREASING TO 1.0 EARLY IN THE MORNING,
THEN DECREASING TO 0.4 EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO 0.5 LATE IN THE MORNING
DECREASING TO 0.4 DECREASING TO 0.3 EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 0.4.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........92 91 88 88 84 88 88 87 89 87 83 81
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 20 20 20
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............57 55 56 56 58 59 60 60 61 62 60 58
DEWPOINT........52 52 52 52 53 53 53 53 53 53 52 52
RH..............84 87 87 88 84 83 79 77 76 73 77 79
33 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
33 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
WIND GUST.......12 12 12 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1
VINDX KT-FT/100.4 5 7 7 11 11 11 12 12 10 10 8
CEILING (KFT)...4.7 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4
FORECASTER...GS/LH
REQUESTED BY...JEFF VASHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2623590.0/MQT
.DELDT 10/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL VASHERJ@MICHIGAN.GOV
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