563
FNUS73 KMQT 112328
FWSMQT
SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAIG LAKE FIRE...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
728 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 EDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
RHS QUICKLY RECOVER ABOVE 80 PERCENT AS LOW TEMPERATURES FALL TO THE
MID 50S TONIGHT. SW WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE TO AROUND 5 MPH
WITH GUSTS OF 10-15 MPH AFTER SUNSET, QUICKLY BECOMING OUT OF THE
NORTH TO NORTHEAST BY 3 AM. ALONG WITH THE WINDS COMES LOW CLOUD
COVER WITH CEILINGS QUICKLY FALLING BELOW 1000 FT AROUND SUNRISE.
CHANCES OF RAINFALL HOVER AROUND 15-25 PERCENT MUCH OF THE DAY
MONDAY, BUT IF PRECIP OCCURS, IT WILL BE LIGHT (LESS THAN 0.05
INCHES). MUCH HIGHER RAIN CHANCES (AND FORECAST RAINFALL TOTALS)
ARRIVE AROUND SUNSET MONDAY WITH FORECAST RAIN TOTALS AROUND A
QUARTER INCH BY NOON TUESDAY. WINDS REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH TO
NORTHEAST AT 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 10-15 MPH WITH THE OCCASIONAL
20 MPH GUST POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. AS
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER MONDAY AND ESPECIALLY TUESDAY, EXPECT
RHS TO REMAIN ABOVE 60 PERCENT MONDAY AND ABOVE 85 PERCENT TUESDAY.
AS A RESULT OF THE DISTURBED WEATHER, VENTILATION RATES WILL BE
GENERALLY POOR AND MIXING HEIGHTS RELATIVELY LOW.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........69 AT FORECAST START...MIN 53.
RH..................54 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MAX 90 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............52.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE
400-500 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (48) AT FORECAST START. MIN...POOR (22.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......23 DECREASING TO 9.3.
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........20 34 41 57 66 67 87 92 91 92
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............69 66 65 64 63 62 61 59 57 55
DEWPOINT........51 52 52 52 52 53 53 53 52 51
RH..............54 59 63 65 69 73 75 80 84 85
33 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W N N N
33 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2
WIND GUST.......10 13 13 13 11 11 11 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
VINDX KT-FT/100.5 5 5 5 4 4 3 2 2 3
CEILING (KFT)...24 24 24 24 23 19 18 15 12 9.3
COLUMBUS DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............52.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1400 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (28.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......5.1 DECREASING TO 1.4 EARLY IN THE MORNING,
THEN DECREASING TO 0.3 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 0.6 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........92 90 90 85 85 85 85 85 88 84 87 75
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............55 53 54 55 58 59 62 63 63 65 63 62
DEWPOINT........51 50 50 51 52 54 53 53 53 53 52 51
RH..............87 90 88 88 82 81 74 71 69 65 68 69
33 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
33 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
WIND GUST.......12 12 12 14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2
VINDX KT-FT/100.3 3 4 6 10 9 10 11 11 11 10 9
CEILING (KFT)...5.1 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...23 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............49 DECREASING TO 45 AFTER 3 AM.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1100 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (35.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.16 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......0.5 DECREASING TO 0.3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........74 87 77 92 91 93 92 86 88 88 88 79
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC LKY CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 40 70 50 60 60 70 90 80 70
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
TEMP............60 56 54 52 50 50 49 49 48 48 47 45
DEWPOINT........51 50 49 48 48 47 47 47 47 47 46 44
RH..............70 78 83 88 90 91 92 93 93 95 96 97
33 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
33 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
WIND GUST.......14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 12 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6
VINDX KT-FT/100.10 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 4 4 4 5
CEILING (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 53.
RH..................MIN 89 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............42 INCREASING TO 48 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1900 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (60.0-277.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.07 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........88 86 88 78 82 85 85 84 84 83 83 82
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 50 30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 43 41 43 46 50 50 51 52 52 52 52
DEWPOINT........44 43 41 43 46 50 50 50 50 50 49 49
RH..............98 99 100 100 100 100 100 98 94 93 91 89
33 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW
33 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
WIND GUST.......14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 12 11 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9
VINDX KT-FT/100.6 13 16 16 16 18 20 23 26 28 28 26
FORECASTER...GS
REQUESTED BY...JEFF VASHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2623594.0/MQT
.DELDT 10/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL VASHERJ@MICHIGAN.GOV
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