268
FNUS73 KMQT 121226
FWSMQT
SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP 4...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
826 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 EDT ON OCTOBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THIS MORNING'S OBSERVATIONS NEAR THE CAMP 4 FIRE SHOW LIGHT ENE
WINDS STARTING TO GUST OCCASIONALLY ABOVE 10 MPH ALONG WITH
INCREASING LOW CLOUD COVER AT 600 FEET. COOLER, MORE STABLE, AND MORE
MOIST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS (RELATIVE TO
THIS PAST WEEKEND) AS A BACKDOOR FRONT DESCENDS THROUGH THE AREA.
TODAY, NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS
TO 20 MPH BY MID-AFTERNOON, REMAINING ELEVATED INTO THE EVENING
HOURS. MOST RECENT MODELS SHOW CHANCES OF THE CAMP 4 FIRE RECEIVING
GREATER THAN 0.50" OF RAIN BETWEEN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING
STAND AT 40%; FOR 0.25", 60%. WINDS BACK NORTHERLY OVERNIGHT MONDAY
PRIOR TO DIMINISHING, AND THE TREND OF DECREASING TEMPS CONTINUES
INTO TUESDAY. CALM WINDS LESS THAN 5 MPH ARRIVE TUESDAY EVENING.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........52 AT FORECAST START...MAX 63.
RH..................97 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 64 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............51.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS EAST AT 9 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE
1200-1400 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (120) AT FORECAST START. MAX...FAIR
(159.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......1.3 DECREASING TO 0.8 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 1.8 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 3.3 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 2.0.
TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........88 84 78 72 70
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0 0 10
TEMP............52 56 60 62 61
DEWPOINT........51 52 50 50 50
RH..............97 85 70 64 66
33 FT WIND......E 9 E 9 E 10 E 12 E 12
20 FT WIND......E 7 E 7 E 8 E 10 E 10
WIND GUST.......14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1200 1300 1400 1300
VINDX KT-FT/100.12 15 16 14 14
CEILING (KFT)...1.5 0.8 0.8 3.3 2.0
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...42 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............48 DECREASING TO 45 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
33-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1300 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (67.0-169.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.46 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......1.1 DECREASING TO 0.7 EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN INCREASING TO 1.3 EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO 0.7 LATE IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO 0.4 DECREASING TO 0.3 LATE IN THE
EVENING INCREASING TO 0.4 DECREASING TO 0.3
OVERNIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........88 81 86 92 90 86
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 50 100 90 80 40
CHC OF THDR (%).10 40 40 30 10 10
TEMP............60 53 50 49 48 46
DEWPOINT........49 50 49 48 47 46
RH..............67 90 97 97 98 99
33 FT WIND......E 13 E 13 E 10 E 8 E 8 NE 6
20 FT WIND......E 10 E 10 E 8 E 6 E 6 NE 5
WIND GUST.......16 16 16 13 13 10
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 1200 1300 1300 1300 1000
VINDX KT-FT/100.15 16 15 14 10 8
CEILING (KFT)...1.1 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55.
RH..................MIN 73 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............43 INCREASING TO 47 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (59.0-218.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.04 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......0.3 INCREASING TO 0.7.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........95 94 95 87 83 81 86 85 80 84 92 84
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 42 44 44 47 50 52 53 53 54 54 53
DEWPOINT........44 42 44 44 47 49 47 47 46 46 46 46
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 96 84 79 75 73 74 75
33 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW
33 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6
WIND GUST.......10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7
VINDX KT-FT/100.9 6 8 12 13 14 14 18 19 17 18 22
CEILING (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7
FORECASTER...RE/TAP
REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN JOUSMA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2623610.0/MQT
.DELDT 10/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL STEPHEN.JOUSMA@USDA.GOV,SM.FS.MIDC@USDA.GOV
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