337
FNUS74 KMRX 081711
FWSMRX
SPOT FORECAST FOR MT LECONTE SAR...GRSM NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
111 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.
DISCUSSION
TRENDS IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS IN THE VICINITY OF THE SAR AREA ARE NOT LIKELY TO DEVELOP
WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. HOWEVER, I WOULD EXPECT THEM TO BEGIN
DEVELOPING OVER, OR IN THE VICINITY OF, THE SMOKIES BY 3 PM EDT.
AN ADDITIONAL ROUND OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
EVENING, SOME OF WHICH COULD HAVE LARGE HAIL (UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE)
AND DAMAGING WINDS. CURRENT THOUGHTS ON TIMING FOR THOSE STORMS WOULD
BE ROUGHLY 6-8 PM EDT THIS EVENING, AND THEY WILL LIKELY BE IN THE
FORM OF A CLUSTER OR LINE OF STORMS MOVING EAST THROUGH THE TN VALLEY.
STORMS CLEAR OUT AROUND MIDNIGHT, BUT A FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST WHICH COULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL LATE TONIGHT AND INTO
THE MORNING HOURS TOMORROW. LOW CLOUDS WOULD AND MOUNTAIN OBSCUREMENT
WOULD ACCOMPANY THESE SHOWERS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............51.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............48 DECREASING TO 45 AFTER 3 AM.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.
FORECASTER...CHARLES DALTON
REQUESTED BY...LE RANGER JEFF DUCKETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 2513536.0/MRX
.DELDT 05/08/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL GRSM_DISPATCH@NPS.GOV
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