406
FXUS64 KMRX 112338
AFDMRX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
738 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2025
..NEW AVIATION
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 323 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2025
SOME SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED IN THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND NEAR
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE WHERE A ROBUST CU FIELD
CAN BE SEEN ON SATELLITE. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LAST A FEW HOURS AND
DISSIPATE BEFORE SUNSET.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 129 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
1. MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.
2. GRADUAL WARMING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK WILL HAVE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS.
3. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK
MAINLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS.
DISCUSSION:
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE. SOME FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING
HOURS MAINLY NEAR RIVERS AND LAKES. STARTING FRIDAY, A RIDGE WILL
BUILD INTO THE MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS. THIS RIDGE WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND, BRINGING A WARMING
TREND. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S FOR MOST OF THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, A TROUGH WILL FORM AND LINGER OVER THE MID-
ATLANTIC. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
STORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK MAINLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS. OVERALL, RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN LOW.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 731 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2025
THE FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE REGION
WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. PREDOMINANT
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. SOME BRIEF FOG POSSIBLE AT TRI BETWEEN 6-12Z BASED ON
PREVIOUS DAYS OBSERVATIONS BUT HAVE KEPT CONDITIONS VFR WITH JUST
VICINITY FOG MENTIONED AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 63 87 59 88 / 0 0 0 0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 59 84 57 84 / 0 0 0 0
OAK RIDGE, TN 59 84 57 85 / 0 0 0 0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 52 80 54 82 / 0 0 0 0
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MCD
AVIATION...KRS
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