460
FXUS64 KMRX 140632
AFDMRX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
232 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 231 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
1. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD, WITH HIGHS
IN THE 80S FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
2. RAIN CHANCES APPEAR TO REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE OUTSIDE OF THE
MOUNTAINS.
DISCUSSION:
CURRENTLY SOME WEAK AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WORKING THEIR WAY SOUTHWARD
THROUGH CENTRAL KENTUCKY FROM SOME REMNANT OUTFLOW FURTHER TO THE
NORTH. THERE IS A SLIM CHANCE THAT THESE COULD REMAIN IN TACT LONG
ENOUGH TO BRING A QUICK SPRINKLE TO SOME PARTS OF NORTHEAST TN...
HOWEVER UNLIKELY, BUT WILL HAVE LOW END POP CHANCES FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD OVERNIGHT TONIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS POSSIBILITY.
THE TROUGH ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST EVOLVES INTO A CLOSED LOW ON
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AND LOOKS TO LINGER OVER THE CAROLINAS FOR A FEW
DAYS BEFORE DRIFTING NORTHWARD ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL HAVE LITTLE
IMPACT ON OUR WEATHER, EXCEPT PERHAPS FOR SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS IN
THE MOUNTAIN ZONES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, ALTHOUGH THE ECMWF
CONTINUES TO BE MORE BULLISH ON PRECIP FOR US. THE MAIN STORY FOR
MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE THE CONTINUED WARM TEMPERATURES THROUGH
NEXT WEEK, WITH HIGHS WELL INTO THE 80S EACH DAY, AND POSSIBLY NEAR
90 IN CHATTANOOGA.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 231 AM EDT SUN SEP 14 2025
POSSIBLE MORNING FOG AT KTRI JUST BEFORE SUNRISE BUT CONFIDENCE IT
TOO LOW TO MENTION IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME. OUTSIDE OF BRIEF
MORNING FOG VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 88 63 87 63 / 10 0 10 0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 85 62 85 63 / 10 0 10 0
OAK RIDGE, TN 85 62 85 62 / 10 0 10 0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 81 58 81 59 / 10 0 10 10
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...
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