007  
FNUS74 KMRX 160940  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NEW ZION KUDZU BEAR CREEK RX...TENNESSEE DIVISION OF FORESTRY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
540 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 16.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISOLATED TO WEAKLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE  
TODAY, FAVORING THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE  
EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS INTO SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA. MOSTLY  
DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. SEASONABLE  
TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ABOVE NORMAL BY THE LATTER  
HALF OF THE WEEK AS WELL.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 3 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 3  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.11 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM  
SKY (%).........36 40 50 59 59 48 50  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............78 80 80 79 79 77 75  
RH..............67 62 62 64 62 69 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W S N E NE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 8 8 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 4.6 4.0 3.4 3.4 2.0 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NE NE N NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 7 6 3 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 5 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3 MPH LATE  
IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE  
IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 2  
MPH OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE EAST 2 TO 3 MPH  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 2 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM  
SKY (%).........63 53 52 48 39 30 41 46 45 48 59 55  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............72 69 68 67 66 65 65 64 63 63 62 61  
RH..............79 87 90 90 93 97 93 97 97 97 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE SW NW NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E E E N N S NE E S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 2  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM  
SKY (%).........66 56 51 45 41 38 34 35 35 36 33 30  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............62 65 69 74 77 80 81 82 82 81 79 76  
RH..............97 97 90 76 69 60 56 53 51 53 56 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE S SW SW W W NW NW N NW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.8 1.5 2.4 3.7 5.2 6.3 7.0 7.0 6.4 4.5 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW W W NW NW NW N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 3 3 5  
 
 
FORECASTER...DOUG SCHNEIDER  
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN WATERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2522013.0/MRX  
.DELDT 09/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NATHAN.WATERS@TN.GOV  
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