387  
FOUS54 KMRX 161601  
PFMMRX  
 
POINT FORECAST MATRICES  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
1201 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
 
TNZ017-170800-  
TRI CITIES AIRPORT-SULLIVAN TN  
36.50N 82.41W ELEV. 1536 FT  
1201 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
 
DATE 09/16/25 WED 09/17/25 THU 09/18/25 FRI  
EDT 3HRLY 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
UTC 3HRLY 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12  
 
MIN/MAX 57 79 57 82 56  
TEMP 75 69 63 60 58 58 69 75 77 70 63 60 58 58 72 79 80 71 63 60 58 58  
DEWPT 62 62 58 57 57 56 60 60 59 60 58 57 56 56 62 60 60 60 58 57 56 56  
RH 64 78 84 90 96 93 73 60 54 71 84 90 93 93 71 52 51 68 84 90 93 93  
WIND DIR N NE E E NE E NW NW NW W E SE E E W W W W SE E E E  
WIND SPD 3 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 2 1 1 1 1  
CLOUDS B1 B1 SC SC B1 SC SC SC SC SC FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW  
POP 12HR 10 5 0 5 0  
QPF 12HR 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE 09/19 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25  
EDT 6HRLY 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
UTC 6HRLY 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MAX/MIN 85 58 85 60 81 58 82 60 82  
TEMP 81 72 62 59 82 73 64 61 78 71 62 60 79 72 62 61 79 72  
DEWPT 58 59 57 56 60 61 60 59 62 61 60 59 62 62 60 60 64 63  
PWIND DIR N E SE SE SE SE SE SE SW  
WIND CHAR LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS FW FW FW SC SC B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC B1  
POP 12HR 0 0 10 10 20 10 20 20 20  
RAIN SHWRS S S S S S S  
TSTMS S  
 

 
 
TNZ071-170800-  
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT-BLOUNT TN  
35.80N 83.98W ELEV. 979 FT  
1201 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
 
DATE 09/16/25 WED 09/17/25 THU 09/18/25 FRI  
EDT 3HRLY 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
UTC 3HRLY 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12  
 
MIN/MAX 62 83 61 86 61  
TEMP 79 72 68 65 63 63 73 80 82 75 68 65 63 62 75 83 85 75 69 65 63 62  
DEWPT 66 67 65 63 62 61 65 65 62 63 62 61 59 60 63 63 61 62 61 60 59 60  
RH 64 84 90 93 97 93 76 60 51 66 81 87 87 93 66 51 45 64 76 84 87 93  
WIND DIR NW SW SE E NE SE NW N N E E SE SE E N NW NW E SE E E E  
WIND SPD 4 3 2 2 1 1 2 3 3 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 2  
CLOUDS B1 B1 SC SC B1 B1 SC SC FW SC FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW  
POP 12HR 20 5 0 5 0  
QPF 12HR 0 0 0 0 0  
RAIN SHWRS S S  
TSTMS S  
 
DATE 09/19 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25  
EDT 6HRLY 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
UTC 6HRLY 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MAX/MIN 88 63 88 65 85 63 84 63 84  
TEMP 85 77 68 64 85 76 68 65 82 75 67 64 82 75 67 64 81 75  
DEWPT 62 61 60 60 63 64 63 62 66 66 62 61 66 65 64 62 67 66  
PWIND DIR NE E SE SE S SE S S SW  
WIND CHAR LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS FW FW FW SC SC B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC B1 SC  
POP 12HR 0 0 10 20 20 10 20 20 20  
RAIN SHWRS S S S S S S S S  
TSTMS S S S  
 

 
 
TNZ036-170800-  
OAK RIDGE-ANDERSON TN  
36.00N 84.24W ELEV. 913 FT  
1201 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
 
DATE 09/16/25 WED 09/17/25 THU 09/18/25 FRI  
EDT 3HRLY 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
UTC 3HRLY 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12  
 
MIN/MAX 61 83 60 86 61  
TEMP 79 71 67 65 63 62 73 82 82 73 67 64 61 61 75 84 84 75 68 65 62 62  
DEWPT 67 67 64 63 62 61 66 65 63 63 61 60 59 59 64 63 62 62 60 59 58 59  
RH 67 87 90 93 97 97 79 56 53 71 81 87 93 93 69 49 48 64 76 81 87 90  
WIND DIR SW S NE NE NE NE S NE N N NE N NE NE E S SW NE NE N NE NE  
WIND SPD 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1  
CLOUDS B1 B1 SC SC B1 B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW  
POP 12HR 10 5 0 0 0  
QPF 12HR 0 0 0 0 0  
RAIN SHWRS C  
TSTMS S  
 
DATE 09/19 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25  
EDT 6HRLY 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
UTC 6HRLY 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MAX/MIN 88 62 87 64 84 63 83 63 84  
TEMP 85 76 66 63 85 76 68 65 82 74 67 64 81 74 67 64 81 74  
DEWPT 62 61 59 59 64 64 63 62 66 65 62 61 66 65 64 63 68 66  
PWIND DIR E NE SE E S E S SW SW  
WIND CHAR LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS FW FW FW SC SC B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC B1 SC  
POP 12HR 0 0 10 20 30 10 30 20 30  
RAIN SHWRS S S C S C S S S C  
TSTMS S S S  
 

 
 
TNZ099-170800-  
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT-HAMILTON TN  
35.03N 85.22W ELEV. 688 FT  
1201 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
 
DATE 09/16/25 WED 09/17/25 THU 09/18/25 FRI  
EDT 3HRLY 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
UTC 3HRLY 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12  
 
MIN/MAX 64 88 63 90 64  
TEMP 83 75 70 67 66 65 76 85 85 78 70 67 65 64 78 87 88 79 72 68 65 65  
DEWPT 64 66 66 65 64 64 66 64 63 64 64 64 62 62 65 63 61 62 63 62 61 60  
RH 53 74 87 93 93 97 71 50 48 62 81 90 90 93 64 45 40 56 73 81 87 84  
WIND DIR NW NE N NE S SE S NW NW E NE N NE NE SE NW NW NE NE NE N NE  
WIND SPD 5 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 2 1 1 1 1  
CLOUDS SC SC FW FW B1 SC SC FW SC SC FW FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW CL FW FW  
POP 12HR 10 5 0 0 0  
QPF 12HR 0 0 0 0 0  
RAIN SHWRS S  
TSTMS S  
 
DATE 09/19 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25  
EDT 6HRLY 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
UTC 6HRLY 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MAX/MIN 91 64 90 66 86 67 85 65 85  
TEMP 88 79 68 65 87 79 70 67 84 77 69 67 82 76 69 66 82 76  
DEWPT 61 60 61 61 63 63 65 64 66 64 64 63 66 66 66 65 68 67  
PWIND DIR NE NE SE SE SE SE SE SE S  
WIND CHAR LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC  
POP 12HR 0 5 10 20 20 10 20 20 20  
RAIN SHWRS S S S S S S S S S  
TSTMS S S S S  
 

 
 
NCZ060-170800-  
TUSQUITEE RAWS-FORESTRY-CHEROKEE NC  
35.07N 84.12W ELEV. 1600 FT  
1201 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
 
DATE 09/16/25 WED 09/17/25 THU 09/18/25 FRI  
EDT 3HRLY 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
UTC 3HRLY 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12  
 
MIN/MAX 57 82 57 85 57  
TEMP 76 68 63 60 58 58 71 79 78 70 63 60 58 58 73 82 81 71 64 60 59 58  
DEWPT 62 63 61 60 58 58 63 62 60 61 60 59 57 56 62 61 60 60 60 59 57 56  
RH 62 84 93100100100 76 56 54 73 90 96 96 93 68 49 49 68 87 96 93 93  
MAX/MIN RH 100 52 100 46 96  
WIND DIR NW N N N N N SW NW NW N N N E E S W NW N E E E E  
WIND DIR DEG 30 33 0 0 0 0 23 29 31 34 0 0 10 10 19 28 30 34 9 9 9 10  
WIND SPD 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 4 1 0 0 1 1 1 3 3 1 1 1 1 1  
CLOUDS SC SC SC SC SC B1 SC SC SC SC FW FW SC SC FW SC FW FW FW FW FW SC  
CLOUDS (%) 45 38 37 34 48 67 35 32 30 26 19 21 27 34 16 29 19 7 12 13 15 26  
VSBY 10 10 10 7 7 7 10 10 10 10  
POP 12HR 10 10 0 5 0  
QPF 12HR 0 0 0 0 0  
RAIN SHWRS C  
TSTMS C  
CHANCETHUNDER 10 10 0 5 0  
MAX MIX HGT  
AGL MIX HGT 5700 7400  
MAX VENT RT 29900 37200  
T WIND DIR NW W  
T WIND SPD 4 4  
ADI 28 37  
MAX LVORI 10 7  
STABILITY B G F B B G G B B G G  
CEILING NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
STA PRES 28.00 27.98 28.00 27.94 27.92 27.94 27.97 27.96 27.94 27.96 27.98  
 
DATE 09/19 SAT 09/20/25 SUN 09/21/25 MON 09/22/25 TUE 09/23/25  
EDT 6HRLY 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
UTC 6HRLY 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00  
 
MAX/MIN 87 58 85 59 82 60 83 58 83  
TEMP 84 72 63 59 82 71 63 60 80 70 62 61 79 70 62 59 81 70  
DEWPT 58 60 59 58 61 62 60 59 63 61 60 59 63 62 62 59 65 64  
PWIND DIR N E SE E SE SE SE SE SE  
WIND CHAR LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT  
AVG CLOUDS FW FW SC SC SC B1 SC B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC B1 B1 SC  
POP 12HR 0 0 10 20 20 20 30 20 30  
RAIN SHWRS S S S S S C S S C  
TSTMS S S S S  
 
THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR PLANNING AND REVIEW PURPOSES ONLY, AND IS  
NOT TO BE SUBSTITUTED FOR AN OFFICIAL FIRE WEATHER SPOT FORECAST  
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page Main Text Page