177  
FXUS64 KMRX 090506  
AFDMRX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
106 AM EDT THU OCT 9 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
UPDATED AT 1216 AM EDT THU OCT 9 2025  
 
- DRIER AIR ARRIVES AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. MOSTLY CLEAR SKY  
AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
 
- FALL-LIKE, COOL TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH  
THIS WEEKEND. A SLIGHT WARMING TREND EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 1259 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2025  
 
A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION WITH NORTHERLY  
WINDS ADVECTING COOLER, DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION. UPPER-LEVEL  
NORTHWEST FLOW AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE  
REGION WITH CLEARING SKY CONDITIONS AND DRY WEATHER. COOL  
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS WITH SOME 30S  
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE EAST TENNESSEE  
MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. WE SHOULD REMAIN DRY WITH HIGH  
PRESSURE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
 
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING INCREASES ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY  
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A WARMING TRENDS  
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL RESULT IN SOME  
INCREASING MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS, BUT WITH A DRY AIRMASS AT THE  
SURFACE, LIMITED TO NO PRECIPITATION IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(06Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1216 AM EDT THU OCT 9 2025  
 
THERE WILL BE VARYING AMOUNTS OF CLOUDS AROUND 5KFT ESPECIALLY  
CHA AND TO A LESSER EXTENT TYS, BUT VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED  
FOR THE PERIOD ALL SITES.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 72 54 75 52 / 0 0 0 0  
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 72 50 74 49 / 0 0 0 0  
OAK RIDGE, TN 72 49 73 48 / 0 0 0 0  
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 72 42 71 43 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NC...NONE.  
TN...NONE.  
VA...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...99  
AVIATION...99  
 
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