089  
FNUS74 KMRX 221903  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TN_CNF_NZ_JONES RIDGE RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
303 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON OCTOBER 23.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK  
WEEK. PROBABILITY OF A FREEZE FOR A FEW LOCATIONS ALONG THE NORTHERN  
PLATEAU TO NORTHEASTERN TN INTO VA IS INCREASING FOR FRIDAY MORNING.  
NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 15 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM  
SKY (%).........8 8 7 8 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............59 59 60 58 55  
RH..............44 42 41 44 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 12 11 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 17 17 16 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.3 6.2 5.8 2.2 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 24 24 15 12  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 9 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM  
SKY (%).........3 6 4 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 8  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............51 47 45 44 42 41 39 38 37 36 35 34  
RH..............56 63 68 70 76 76 82 85 85 89 89 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 6 6 5 4 4 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 3 3  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO  
13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM  
SKY (%).........9 7 6 4 7 11 14 12 11 9 12 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............34 38 43 48 51 54 55 57 58 58 56 52  
RH..............92 82 73 63 54 47 43 40 39 39 42 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 10 8 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.5 2.6 3.5 4.0 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.7 4.4 3.3 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 6 8 10 12 13 13 13 12 10 8 6  
 

 
FORECASTER...JEANIE MCDERMOTT  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WILSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2524237.0/MRX  
.DELDT 10/22/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.WILSON@USDA.GOV  
 
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