662  
FNUS74 KMRX 231808  
FWSMRX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TN_CNF_NZ_JONES RIDGE RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
208 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON OCTOBER 23.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK  
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY FALLING INTO THE 30S EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY.  
WINDS WILL BE BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON BUT BECOME LIGHT FRIDAY AND  
SATURDAY. A FROST OR LIGHT FREEZE IS EXPECTED FRIDAY MORNING AND  
POSSIBLY SATURDAY MORNING AS WELL. NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL BE  
LATE SUNDAY INTO THE NEW WORK WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........22 13 9 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............60 59 58 55  
RH..............36 37 37 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 9 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 18 14 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.5 6.4 2.5 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 14 10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 8 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM  
SKY (%).........5 6 7 10 7 5 4 4 10 19 25 23  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............52 48 45 44 43 41 40 39 37 35 34 33  
RH..............50 60 70 73 73 79 79 82 89 92 92 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 6 5 4 4 4 2 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NW NW W W W W W SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 5  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING  
LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO  
12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY (%).........18 9 10 14 12 14 14 6 20 7 6 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............32 37 42 48 50 54 56 56 58 56 56 52  
RH..............100 85 76 60 52 41 38 37 33 37 35 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW W W W W W W W NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.8 2.9 3.9 4.3 4.7 4.8 5.0 4.8 1.7 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W NW NW W NW NW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 7 8 10 10 12 12 12 10 8 7  
 

 
FORECASTER...KYLE SNOWDIN  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WILSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2524237.1/MRX  
.DELDT 10/23/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.WILSON@USDA.GOV  
 
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