217
FNUS74 KMRX 241000
FWSMRX
SPOT FORECAST FOR TN_CNF_NZ_JONES RIDGE RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...AT 1-800-697-0075. IF POSSIBLE, PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK
FOR EVERY SPOT FORECAST REQUEST.
DISCUSSION
DRY WEATHER TODAY WITH LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES, ONLY A
FEW CLOUDS AROUND 4000 FEET TODAY, A HIGHER CIRRUS CLOUD DECK AS
WELL. MORNING INVERSION TO LIKELY DISSIPATE AROUND 10 TO 11 AM.
DECENT MIXING, BUT HIGH PRESSURE IS KEEPING THE WIDER WINDS LIGHT
TODAY, SO LOCAL TERRAIN AND LAKE INFLUENCE MAY BE A FACTOR MORE
THAN THE WIDER ENVIRONMENT ON WIND DIRECTION. WINDS ALOFT AT THE
TOP OF THE AFTERNOON MIXING LAYER ARE LIGHT, SO GUSTS MOST LIKELY
WILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW 10 MPH.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING
LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
5 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM
SKY (%).........14 8 15 6 2 5 8 6 5 2 5 7
WEATHER COV.....ARS
WEATHER TYPE....FST
TSTM COV........
TEMP............33 37 43 47 50 53 54 56 57 57 55 52
RH..............92 79 65 56 48 41 40 35 33 33 35 41
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W W W W W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 2
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.9 3.3 3.8 4.3 4.8 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 5 8 9 10 10 10 12 10 8 7
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5
TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM
SKY (%).........10 7 13 19 23 22 20 15 15 24 35 37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............49 45 43 42 40 39 38 38 37 37 36 36
RH..............46 53 60 62 67 70 73 73 75 75 75 72
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 2 2 2 4 4 4 4 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 4.4 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N NE NE E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 3
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM
SKY (%).........33 42 41 40 41 41 42 43 44 45 49 53
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............36 39 45 52 56 59 61 63 63 63 61 58
RH..............72 70 58 48 40 34 31 29 29 29 32 36
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E NE NW W W NW NW N NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.7 3.3 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.0 2.2 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE S SW W W W W NW NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...NATHAN WELLINGTON
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2524237.2/MRX
.DELDT 10/24/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.WILSON@USDA.GOV
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